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La Liga

Referee: José Sánchez

Celta

S S U T U

1–1

Full-time

Ath Madrid

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Celta Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

33%

83%

Points per game

1,5

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

1,3

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,8

This season — La Liga · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 34%

21%

47%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

35%

32%

Both score Ø 46%

47%

44%

Average goals

2,2

2,1

Scored

1,0

1,4

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

9 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Celta 15. · Ath Madrid 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	34	23	8	3	+41	77
2	Barcelona	34	22	7	5	+42	73
3	Ath Madrid	34	16	14	4	+21	62
4	Sevilla	34	16	12	6	+16	60
5	Villarreal	34	16	6	12	+10	54
6	Getafe	34	14	11	9	+11	53
7	Sociedad	34	15	6	13	+8	51
8	Valencia	35	13	11	11	-6	50
9	Ath Bilbao	34	12	12	10	+9	48
10	Granada	34	13	8	13	+2	47
11	Osasuna	34	11	12	11	-7	45
12	Levante	34	12	7	15	-5	43
13	Valladolid	35	8	15	12	-10	39
14	Betis	34	9	11	14	-11	38
15	Celta	34	7	14	13	-10	35
16	Eibar	34	9	8	17	-17	35
17	Alaves	34	9	8	17	-19	35
18	Mallorca	34	8	5	21	-24	29
19	Leganes	34	6	10	18	-24	28
20	Espanol	34	5	9	20	-27	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	17	15	2	0	+36	47
2	Real Madrid	17	13	4	0	+26	43
3	Ath Madrid	17	11	5	1	+16	38
4	Valencia	18	10	7	1	+12	37
5	Ath Bilbao	17	9	4	4	+10	31
6	Sevilla	17	8	7	2	+9	31
7	Sociedad	17	9	3	5	+14	30
8	Getafe	17	8	6	3	+9	30
9	Granada	17	9	3	5	+7	30
10	Villarreal	17	8	5	4	+9	29
11	Levante	17	8	5	4	+8	29
12	Betis	17	8	4	5	+5	28
13	Alaves	17	7	5	5	+6	26
14	Mallorca	17	7	3	7	+2	24
15	Osasuna	17	6	6	5	-4	24
16	Eibar	17	7	2	8	-2	23
17	Celta	17	5	7	5	+3	22
18	Valladolid	17	4	10	3	+2	22
19	Leganes	17	4	4	9	-10	16
20	Espanol	17	2	5	10	-14	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	17	10	4	3	+15	34
2	Sevilla	17	8	5	4	+7	29
3	Barcelona	17	7	5	5	+6	26
4	Villarreal	17	8	1	8	+1	25
5	Ath Madrid	17	5	9	3	+5	24
6	Getafe	17	6	5	6	+2	23
7	Osasuna	17	5	6	6	-3	21
8	Sociedad	17	6	3	8	-6	21
9	Ath Bilbao	17	3	8	6	-1	17
10	Granada	17	4	5	8	-5	17
11	Valladolid	18	4	5	9	-12	17
12	Levante	17	4	2	11	-13	14
13	Celta	17	2	7	8	-13	13
14	Espanol	17	3	4	10	-13	13
15	Valencia	17	3	4	10	-18	13
16	Leganes	17	2	6	9	-14	12
17	Eibar	17	2	6	9	-15	12
18	Betis	17	1	7	9	-16	10
19	Alaves	17	2	3	12	-25	9
20	Mallorca	17	1	2	14	-26	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.