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La Liga

Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas

Ath Madrid

S S S S T

3–0

Full-time

Celta

U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

2,2

1,2

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 54%

67%

41%

Points per game

2,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

30%

70%

Both score Ø 49%

30%

67%

Average goals

2,1

3,1

Scored

1,7

Conceded

0,4

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,2

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

7 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 4

3 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 2. · Celta 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	28	22	6	0	+59	72
2	Ath Madrid	27	18	7	2	+33	61
3	Real Madrid	28	17	6	5	+37	57
4	Valencia	28	17	5	6	+24	56
5	Sevilla	28	14	3	11	-6	45
6	Girona	28	12	7	9	+4	43
7	Villarreal	27	12	5	10	+4	41
8	Eibar	28	11	6	11	-6	39
9	Celta	27	11	5	11	+6	38
10	Betis	27	11	4	12	-9	37
11	Getafe	28	9	9	10	+7	36
12	Espanol	28	8	11	9	-8	35
13	Sociedad	28	9	6	13	+0	33
14	Leganes	27	9	6	12	-9	33
15	Ath Bilbao	27	7	11	9	-4	32
16	Alaves	27	10	1	16	-15	31
17	Levante	28	4	12	12	-19	24
18	Las Palmas	27	5	5	17	-35	20
19	La Coruna	28	4	7	17	-34	19
20	Malaga	28	3	4	21	-29	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	13	11	2	0	+32	35
2	Valencia	14	10	2	2	+17	32
3	Ath Madrid	13	9	4	0	+17	31
4	Real Madrid	14	9	2	3	+24	29
5	Getafe	15	8	3	4	+14	27
6	Sevilla	14	8	3	3	+6	27
7	Girona	14	8	2	4	+11	26
8	Espanol	15	7	4	4	+2	25
9	Eibar	15	7	3	5	+8	24
10	Villarreal	13	7	2	4	+9	23
11	Celta	13	6	4	3	+5	22
12	Alaves	14	7	1	6	-2	22
13	Sociedad	14	6	3	5	+8	21
14	Leganes	13	6	3	4	+1	21
15	Betis	14	6	3	5	-3	21
16	Ath Bilbao	13	4	7	2	+3	19
17	Las Palmas	13	4	2	7	-11	14
18	La Coruna	14	3	4	7	-8	13
19	Levante	14	2	6	6	-8	12
20	Malaga	14	2	3	9	-11	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	11	4	0	+27	37
2	Ath Madrid	14	9	3	2	+16	30
3	Real Madrid	14	8	4	2	+13	28
4	Valencia	14	7	3	4	+7	24
5	Villarreal	14	5	3	6	-5	18
6	Sevilla	14	6	0	8	-12	18
7	Girona	14	4	5	5	-7	17
8	Celta	14	5	1	8	+1	16
9	Betis	13	5	1	7	-6	16
10	Eibar	13	4	3	6	-14	15
11	Ath Bilbao	14	3	4	7	-7	13
12	Sociedad	14	3	3	8	-8	12
13	Leganes	14	3	3	8	-10	12
14	Levante	14	2	6	6	-11	12
15	Espanol	13	1	7	5	-10	10
16	Getafe	13	1	6	6	-7	9
17	Alaves	13	3	0	10	-13	9
18	Las Palmas	14	1	3	10	-24	6
19	La Coruna	14	1	3	10	-26	6
20	Malaga	14	1	1	12	-18	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.