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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero

Ath Madrid

U S S S T

0–0

Full-time

Celta

U T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Celta

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

75%

25%

Points per game

2,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

25%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%

20 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

13 Corners 3

3 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 2. · Celta 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	4	3	1	0	+4	10
2	Ath Madrid	4	3	0	1	+1	9
3	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	+4	8
4	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Ath Bilbao	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+5	7
7	Granada	4	2	1	1	+4	7
8	Levante	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Sociedad	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Osasuna	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Alaves	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Betis	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Valladolid	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Valencia	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Mallorca	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Celta	4	1	1	2	-3	4
17	Espanol	4	1	1	2	-4	4
18	Getafe	4	0	3	1	-1	3
19	Eibar	5	0	2	3	-3	2
20	Leganes	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Levante	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Ath Bilbao	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Ath Madrid	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Villarreal	3	1	2	0	+2	5
6	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Betis	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Mallorca	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Alaves	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Osasuna	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Celta	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Getafe	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Sevilla	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Eibar	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Granada	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Leganes	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Espanol	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Granada	3	2	1	0	+5	7
3	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	Espanol	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Sociedad	3	1	1	1	-1	4
7	Valladolid	4	1	1	2	-3	4
8	Villarreal	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Ath Madrid	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Ath Bilbao	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Eibar	4	0	2	2	-2	2
12	Celta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Barcelona	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Getafe	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Betis	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Leganes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Levante	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.