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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Elche
S U S S T
1–1
Full-time
Celta
T T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elche Celta
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,7
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,7
This season — La Liga · 6/8 matches
Win Ø 32%
50%
13%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
50%
38%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,4
Scored
1,0
0,6
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
8 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 3
0 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Elche 10. · Celta 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 8 5 2 1 +14 17
2 Real Madrid 7 5 1 1 +8 16
3 Villarreal 8 4 3 1 +2 15
4 Ath Madrid 6 4 2 0 +11 14
5 Cadiz 8 4 2 2 +2 14
6 Granada 7 4 2 1 +0 14
7 Betis 8 4 0 4 -2 12
8 Getafe 7 3 2 2 +1 11
9 Osasuna 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 Elche 6 3 1 2 -1 10
11 Ath Bilbao 7 3 0 4 -1 9
12 Barcelona 6 2 2 2 +4 8
13 Valencia 8 2 2 4 -2 8
14 Alaves 8 2 2 4 -3 8
15 Eibar 8 2 2 4 -3 8
16 Sevilla 6 2 1 3 +0 7
17 Celta 8 1 3 4 -9 6
18 Levante 7 1 2 4 -5 5
19 Huesca 8 0 5 3 -8 5
20 Valladolid 8 0 3 5 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Elche Celta
Pere Milla ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
3′
1–0 Fidel
4′
5′
🟨 Denis Suárez
Diego Gonzalez 🟨
13′
J. Sánchez 🔁
↦ Fidel
39′
41′
Santi Mina 1–1
Iago Aspas
Half-time 1–1
Lucas Boyé 🟨
58′
Josema Sánchez 🔁
↦ Diego González
60′
E. Rigoni 🔁
↦ O. Mfulu
60′
Raúl Guti 🔁
↦ Pere Milla
61′
66′
🔁 Fran Beltrán
↦ R. Tapia
72′
🟨 Lucas Olaza
Nino 🔁
↦ E. Rigoni
76′
77′
🔁 Miguel Rodríguez
↦ Santi Mina
81′
🟨 Iago Aspas
84′
🔁 Gabri Veiga
↦ Brais Méndez
Antonio Barragán 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Gabriel Veiga
90′
🟨 Miguel Rodríguez
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Elche

5-4-1
13 Edgar Badía G
19 Barragán D
5 Gonzalo Verdú D
2 Diego González D
4 I. Marcone M
16 Fidel D
6 O. Mfulu M
17 Josán Fernández D
10 Pere Milla M
9 L. Boyé F
11 Tete Morente M
Bench (12)
3 J. Sánchez
24 Josema Sánchez
22 E. Rigoni
14 Raúl Guti
7 Nino
23 Cifuentes
1 D. Rodríguez
12 Dani Calvo
37 Jony Carmona
18 Y. Koné
20 S. Lucumí
15 Luismi Sánchez

Coach: J. Almirón

Celta

4-1-4-1
13 Rubén Blanco G
2 Hugo Mallo D
24 J. Murillo D
15 L. Olaza D
18 J. Aidoo D
6 Denis Suárez M
14 R. Tapia M
23 Brais Méndez M
10 Iago Aspas M
9 Nolito M
22 Santi Mina F
Bench (12)
8 Fran Beltrán
32 Miguel Rodríguez
31 Gabri Veiga
27 Miguel Baeza
4 N. Araújo
17 Juncà
16 Jorge Sáenz
34 Sergio Carreira
1 Iván Villar
35 Álvaro Fernández
3 David Costas
5 O. Yokuşlu

Coach: Óscar García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,97
U ✓
3,32
B
2,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,39
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.