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La Liga

Referee: Santiago Jaime

Osasuna

T T T T U

1–1

Full-time

Alaves

S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-1,5

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 14/15 matches

Win Ø 24%

21%

27%

Points per game

0,9

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

43%

33%

Both score Ø 45%

43%

47%

Average goals

2,6

2,0

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,6

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

32% Possession 68%

8 Shots 15

3 Shots on target 1

0 Blocked shots 8

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osasuna 19. · Alaves 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	14	11	2	1	+22	35
2	Real Madrid	16	10	3	3	+13	33
3	Sociedad	17	8	5	4	+14	29
4	Sevilla	14	8	2	4	+7	26
5	Villarreal	16	6	8	2	+4	26
6	Barcelona	15	7	4	4	+14	25
7	Granada	15	7	3	5	-4	24
8	Celta	16	6	5	5	+0	23
9	Cadiz	16	5	4	7	-9	19
10	Betis	16	6	1	9	-11	19
11	Levante	15	4	6	5	-1	18
12	Ath Bilbao	16	5	3	8	-1	18
13	Alaves	15	4	5	6	-4	17
14	Getafe	15	4	5	6	-4	17
15	Elche	14	3	7	4	-4	16
16	Eibar	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Valencia	16	3	6	7	-2	15
18	Valladolid	16	3	6	7	-9	15
19	Osasuna	14	3	3	8	-10	12
20	Huesca	16	1	9	6	-11	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	8	7	1	0	+17	22
2	Barcelona	9	5	3	1	+11	18
3	Granada	8	5	2	1	+5	17
4	Villarreal	8	4	4	0	+6	16
5	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	+8	15
6	Celta	8	5	0	3	+2	15
7	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+4	13
8	Sociedad	8	3	3	2	+5	12
9	Ath Bilbao	7	4	0	3	+5	12
10	Levante	7	3	3	1	+3	12
11	Getafe	8	3	2	3	+1	11
12	Betis	7	3	1	3	-1	10
13	Alaves	8	2	4	2	-1	10
14	Valencia	8	2	3	3	+1	9
15	Valladolid	8	2	3	3	-4	9
16	Elche	8	1	5	2	-3	8
17	Huesca	7	1	4	2	-2	7
18	Osasuna	7	2	1	4	-5	7
19	Cadiz	8	1	3	4	-6	6
20	Eibar	8	0	4	4	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	9	5	3	1	+5	18
2	Sociedad	9	5	2	2	+9	17
3	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+5	13
4	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	+3	13
5	Cadiz	8	4	1	3	-3	13
6	Eibar	8	3	3	2	+2	12
7	Villarreal	8	2	4	2	-2	10
8	Betis	9	3	0	6	-10	9
9	Elche	6	2	2	2	-1	8
10	Celta	8	1	5	2	-2	8
11	Barcelona	6	2	1	3	+3	7
12	Alaves	7	2	1	4	-3	7
13	Granada	7	2	1	4	-9	7
14	Valencia	8	1	3	4	-3	6
15	Levante	8	1	3	4	-4	6
16	Valladolid	8	1	3	4	-5	6
17	Getafe	7	1	3	3	-5	6
18	Ath Bilbao	9	1	3	5	-6	6
19	Osasuna	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Huesca	9	0	5	4	-9	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.