La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Elche
Osasuna
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Ath Madrid
|
12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | +19 | 29 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | +11 | 29 |
| 3 |
Sociedad
|
15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | +15 | 26 |
| 4 |
Villarreal
|
14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | +6 | 25 |
| 5 |
Barcelona
|
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | +11 | 21 |
| 6 |
Granada
|
13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 21 |
| 7 |
Sevilla
|
12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 20 |
| 8 |
Celta
|
14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 |
Cadiz
|
14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | -8 | 18 |
| 10 |
Ath Bilbao
|
14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | +0 | 17 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 |
Betis
|
14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | -11 | 16 |
| 13 |
Valencia
|
14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | +0 | 15 |
| 14 |
Eibar
|
14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 15 |
Levante
|
13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 16 |
Elche
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -4 | 14 |
| 17 |
Alaves
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 14 |
| 18 |
Valladolid
|
14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | -6 | 14 |
| 19 |
Huesca
|
14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 |
Osasuna
|
13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -10 | 11 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Dani Calvo
D
Fidel
M
Josan Ferrández
M
L. Boyé
F
Tete Morente
M
Coach: J. Almirón
Juan Cruz
D
Rubén García
F
Moncayola
M
Coach: Arrasate
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Ath Madrid
Elche
Elche
Granada
Villarreal
Elche
Elche
Cadiz
Levante
Elche
Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.