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La Liga
Referee: José Munuera
Osasuna
U S T S U
4–2
Full-time
Alaves
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 27%
27%
27%
Points per game
1,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
36%
27%
Both score Ø 46%
55%
36%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

58% Possession 42%
19 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Osasuna 13. · Alaves 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 11 7 1 3 +15 22
2 Real Madrid 11 6 4 1 +12 22
3 Ath Madrid 12 5 6 1 +5 21
4 Sevilla 12 6 3 3 +2 21
5 Granada 11 6 2 3 +5 20
6 Sociedad 11 6 1 4 +6 19
7 Villarreal 12 5 3 4 +9 18
8 Ath Bilbao 12 4 5 3 +4 17
9 Levante 12 5 2 5 +1 17
10 Valladolid 12 4 5 3 +0 17
11 Valencia 12 4 5 3 -1 17
12 Getafe 11 4 4 3 +2 16
13 Osasuna 11 3 6 2 +1 15
14 Betis 12 3 4 5 -7 13
15 Eibar 11 3 3 5 -4 12
16 Alaves 11 3 3 5 -5 12
17 Mallorca 12 3 2 7 -9 11
18 Celta 11 2 3 6 -8 9
19 Espanol 12 2 2 8 -14 8
20 Leganes 11 1 2 8 -14 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Osasuna Alaves
10′
🟨 Lisandro Magallán
1–0 Rubén García
E. Ávila
20′
2–0 E. Ávila
26′
27′
Laguardia 2–1
Martín Aguirregabiria
Chimy Ávila 🟨
41′
Half-time 3–1
3–1 Roberto Torres
51′
51′
Lucas Pérez 3–2
4–2 Juan Villar
55′
58′
🔁 Borja Sainz
↦ Manu García
67′
🔁 O. Burke
↦ Aleix Vidal
Fran Mérida 🟨
69′
Cardona 🔁
↦ Juan Villar
76′
76′
🔁 J. Guidetti
↦ Joselu
Iñigo Pérez 🔁
↦ Rubén García
81′
Marc Cardona 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Víctor Laguardia
D. Brašanac 🔁
↦ Fran Mérida
85′
Pervis Estupinan 🟨
90′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Osasuna

4-4-2
13 Rubén Martínez G
2 Nacho Vidal D
23 Aridane Hernandez D
5 David García D
30 Pervis Estupinan D
10 Roberto Torres M
6 Oier M
8 Fran Mérida M
14 Rubén García M
9 Chimy Ávila F
18 Juan Villar F
Bench (7)
1 Sergio Herrera
12 Facundo Roncaglia
21 Iñigo Pérez
20 Darko Brašanac
28 Luis Perea
11 Brandon
7 Marc Cardona

Coach: Arrasate

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Fernando Pacheco G
21 Martín Aguirregabiria D
5 Víctor Laguardia D
6 Lisandro Magallán D
3 Rubén Duarte D
18 Aleix Vidal M
20 Pere Pons M
19 Manu García M
22 Mubarak Wakaso M
7 Lucas Pérez F
9 Joselu F
Bench (7)
13 Antonio Sivera
23 Ximo Navarro
29 Borja Sainz
16 Daniel Torres
24 Oliver Burke
11 Luis Rioja
10 John Guidetti

Coach: Asier Garitano

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,08
U
3,04
B
4,25
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,65
U2,5
1,47
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.