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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola
Huesca
U T T U S
3–1
Full-time
Elche
S T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Huesca Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 16%
14%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
34%
45%
Both score Ø 57%
55%
59%
Average goals
2,5
2,4
Scored
1,0
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

33% Possession 67%
8 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Huesca 18. · Elche 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 29 20 6 3 +32 66
2 Barcelona 29 20 5 4 +44 65
3 Real Madrid 29 19 6 4 +28 63
4 Sevilla 29 18 4 7 +19 58
5 Sociedad 29 12 10 7 +16 46
6 Villarreal 29 11 13 5 +11 46
7 Betis 29 14 4 11 -3 46
8 Celta 29 9 10 10 -6 37
9 Ath Bilbao 29 9 9 11 +6 36
10 Granada 29 10 6 13 -15 36
11 Levante 29 8 11 10 -3 35
12 Valencia 29 8 9 12 -5 33
13 Cadiz 29 8 8 13 -19 32
14 Osasuna 29 7 10 12 -12 31
15 Getafe 29 7 9 13 -11 30
16 Valladolid 29 5 12 12 -13 27
17 Elche 29 5 11 13 -17 26
18 Huesca 29 4 12 13 -16 24
19 Eibar 29 4 11 14 -13 23
20 Alaves 29 5 8 16 -23 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Huesca Elche
1–0 Rafa Mir
David Ferreiro
3′
4′
D. Vavro 2–0
own goal
Rafa Mir ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
25′
3–0 Sandro Ramírez
30′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 H. Palacios
↦ Barragán
52′
🟨 Fidel
Sergio Gómez 🔁
↦ Sandro Ramírez
58′
Sergio Gómez 🟨
60′
64′
🔁 Josan Ferrández
↦ Pere Milla
64′
🔁 G. Carrillo
↦ Tete Morente
Mikel Rico 🔁
↦ D. Vavro
65′
D. Siovas 🔁
↦ Pedro Mosquera
65′
70′
🔁 E. Rigoni
↦ Fidel
David Ferreiro 🟨
71′
76′
🔁 Nino
↦ G. Carrillo
I. Doumbia 🔁
↦ David Ferreiro
80′
4–0 Rafa Mir
88′
90′
🟨 Gonzalo Verdú
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Huesca

3-5-2
13 Andrés Fernández G
19 Pedro López M
14 Jorge Pulido D
4 Pablo Ínsua D
25 D. Vavro D
11 Javier Galán M
7 David Ferreiro M
5 Pedro Mosquera M
20 Jaime Seoane M
6 Sandro Ramírez F
9 Rafa Mir F
Bench (9)
10 Sergio Gómez
17 Mikel Rico
18 D. Siovas
2 I. Doumbia
21 Juan Carlos
12 S. Okazaki
23 Dani Escriche
24 Borja García
1 Álvaro Fernández

Coach: Pacheta

Elche

4-4-2
13 Edgar Badia G
19 Barragán D
25 J. Mojica D
5 Gonzalo Verdú D
12 Dani Calvo D
4 I. Marcone M
16 Fidel M
14 Raúl Guti M
10 Pere Milla F
9 L. Boyé F
11 Tete Morente M
Bench (12)
18 H. Palacios
17 Josan Ferrández
21 G. Carrillo
22 E. Rigoni
7 Nino
8 Víctor Rodríguez
1 P. Gazzaniga
24 Josema Sánchez
6 O. Mfulu
2 Diego González
15 Luismi Sánchez
23 Cifuentes

Coach: Fran Escribá

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,05
U
3,21
B
4,09
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,46
U2,5
1,55
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Alberola · 108 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.