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Pro League
Referee: C Dierick
Eupen
U S U S T
0–4
Full-time
Standard
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eupen Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 36/30 matches
Win Ø 31%
28%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
44%
53%
Both score Ø 62%
61%
63%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eupen 12. · Standard 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 30 21 5 4 +46 68
2 Antwerp 30 17 7 6 +17 58
3 Waregem 36 18 4 14 +0 58
4 Genk 31 15 10 6 +19 55
5 Beerschot VA 36 16 6 14 -2 54
6 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 35 14 10 11 +3 52
7 Mechelen 30 14 7 9 +5 49
8 Anderlecht 31 10 16 5 +14 46
9 Gent 30 13 6 11 +14 45
10 Oostende 30 13 6 11 +5 45
11 Charleroi 36 11 12 13 +0 45
12 Eupen 36 10 15 11 -7 45
13 St Truiden 36 11 9 16 -7 42
14 Kortrijk 35 12 6 17 -7 42
15 Cercle Brugge 36 13 2 21 -10 41
16 Standard 30 10 9 11 +0 39
17 Mouscron 32 7 10 15 -19 31
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 32 7 10 15 -19 31
19 Waasland-Beveren 32 7 7 18 -26 28
20 Beveren 32 7 7 18 -26 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eupen Standard
B. Poulain 🔁
↦ Adriano
21′
43′
S. Amallah 0–1
G. Cimirot
Half-time 0–1
61′
🔁 M. Carcela-González
↦ M. Balikwisha
68′
S. Amallah 0–2
A. Baby 🔁
↦ J. Ngoy
69′
K. N’Dri 🔁
↦ A. Boljević
69′
71′
J. Muleka 0–3
N. Gavory
72′
🔁 Klauss
↦ S. Amallah
72′
🔁 M. Lestienne
↦ J. Muleka
76′
🔁 E. Shamir
↦ N. Raskin
A. Beck 🔁
↦ J. Heris
77′
85′
M. Lestienne 0–4
S. Bastien
Stef Peeters 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Eupen

4-2-3-1
31 T. Defourny G
21 Adriano D
28 J. Heris D
5 Jordi Amat D
23 S. Miangué D
8 S. Peeters M
39 E. Kayembe M
10 K. Musona M
18 A. Boljević M
9 S. Prevljak F
7 J. Ngoy M
Bench (7)
6 B. Poulain
11 A. Baby
34 K. N’Dri
32 A. Beck
77 M. Koné
24 S. Gnaka
30 R. Himmelmann

Coach: Beñat San José

Standard

4-4-2
16 A. Bodart G
34 K. Laifis D
24 N. Gavory D
5 M. Sissako D
41 H. Siquet D
8 G. Cimirot M
28 S. Bastien M
19 S. Amallah M
26 N. Raskin M
17 J. Muleka F
32 M. Balikwisha F
Bench (7)
10 M. Carcela-González
14 Klauss
22 M. Lestienne
15 E. Shamir
33 D. Pavlovic
30 L. Henkinet
6 N. Dussenne

Coach: M. Leye

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,35
U
3,18
B ✓
2,24
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,13
U2,5
1,71
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Dierick · 33 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.