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Bundesliga

Referee: M Petersen

Bielefeld

U T S T U

1–0

Full-time

Freiburg

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Freiburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,2

Scored

0,5

0,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 30%

22%

37%

Points per game

0,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

48%

63%

Both score Ø 50%

41%

59%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

0,8

1,5

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

13 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 0

2 Blocked shots 4

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bielefeld 17. · Freiburg 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	27	20	4	3	+44	64
2	RB Leipzig	27	17	6	4	+26	57
3	Wolfsburg	27	15	9	3	+24	54
4	Ein Frankfurt	27	13	11	3	+18	50
5	Dortmund	27	13	4	10	+16	43
6	Leverkusen	27	12	7	8	+13	43
7	Union Berlin	27	9	12	6	+8	39
8	Stuttgart	27	10	9	8	+7	39
9	M'gladbach	27	10	9	8	+5	39
10	Freiburg	27	10	7	10	-1	37
11	Augsburg	27	9	5	13	-12	32
12	Hoffenheim	27	8	6	13	-6	30
13	Werder Bremen	27	7	9	11	-8	30
14	Hertha	27	6	7	14	-14	25
15	Mainz	27	6	7	14	-19	25
16	FC Koln	27	5	8	14	-22	23
17	Bielefeld	27	6	5	16	-25	23
18	Schalke 04	27	1	7	19	-54	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	10	3	0	+32	33
2	RB Leipzig	14	10	2	2	+14	32
3	Wolfsburg	13	9	4	0	+17	31
4	Ein Frankfurt	13	7	6	0	+12	27
5	Dortmund	13	7	2	4	+12	23
6	Union Berlin	14	5	8	1	+10	23
7	Leverkusen	14	6	4	4	+7	22
8	Freiburg	14	6	4	4	+6	22
9	M'gladbach	14	6	4	4	+5	22
10	Stuttgart	13	4	6	3	+5	18
11	Augsburg	14	5	3	6	-5	18
12	Hoffenheim	13	5	2	6	+4	17
13	Hertha	13	4	2	7	-8	14
14	Werder Bremen	13	3	4	6	-6	13
15	Bielefeld	14	4	1	9	-12	13
16	Mainz	14	3	3	8	-9	12
17	FC Koln	13	1	5	7	-9	8
18	Schalke 04	14	1	3	10	-21	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	1	3	+12	31
2	RB Leipzig	13	7	4	2	+12	25
3	Wolfsburg	14	6	5	3	+7	23
4	Ein Frankfurt	14	6	5	3	+6	23
5	Leverkusen	13	6	3	4	+6	21
6	Stuttgart	14	6	3	5	+2	21
7	Dortmund	14	6	2	6	+4	20
8	M'gladbach	13	4	5	4	+0	17
9	Werder Bremen	14	4	5	5	-2	17
10	Union Berlin	13	4	4	5	-2	16
11	Freiburg	13	4	3	6	-7	15
12	FC Koln	14	4	3	7	-13	15
13	Augsburg	13	4	2	7	-7	14
14	Hoffenheim	14	3	4	7	-10	13
15	Mainz	13	3	4	6	-10	13
16	Hertha	14	2	5	7	-6	11
17	Bielefeld	13	2	4	7	-13	10
18	Schalke 04	13	0	4	9	-33	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.