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La Liga
Referee: Jorge Figueroa
Eibar
U T T T T
0–1
Full-time
Sociedad
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Sociedad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
2,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-2,2
-1,0
This season — La Liga · 32/32 matches
Win Ø 27%
13%
41%
Points per game
0,7
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
34%
47%
Both score Ø 55%
53%
56%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
0,7
1,6
Conceded
1,4
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
14 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 2
7 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 3
3 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 20
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 20. · Sociedad 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Madrid 33 22 7 4 +38 73
2 Barcelona 32 22 5 5 +47 71
3 Real Madrid 33 21 8 4 +32 71
4 Sevilla 33 22 4 7 +23 70
5 Sociedad 32 13 11 8 +16 50
6 Betis 33 14 8 11 -3 50
7 Villarreal 33 12 13 8 +12 49
8 Granada 32 12 6 14 -12 42
9 Ath Bilbao 32 10 11 11 +7 41
10 Celta 33 10 11 12 -7 41
11 Osasuna 33 10 10 13 -8 40
12 Levante 33 9 11 13 -8 38
13 Cadiz 33 9 10 14 -21 37
14 Valencia 33 8 12 13 -7 36
15 Getafe 33 8 10 15 -13 34
16 Alaves 33 7 10 16 -21 31
17 Elche 33 6 12 15 -20 30
18 Valladolid 32 5 14 13 -14 29
19 Huesca 33 5 12 16 -19 27
20 Eibar 32 4 11 17 -22 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Sociedad
Recio 🟨
4′
26′
A. Isak 0–1
R. Le Normand
Paulo Oliveira 🟨
31′
Rober Correa 🔁
↦ Alejandro Pozo
32′
Bryan Gil 🟨
43′
José Ángel 🟨
43′
Half-time 0–1
Edu Expósito 🔁
↦ Pedro León
46′
63′
🔁 Jon Guridi
↦ Barrenetxea
Y. Muto 🔁
↦ P. Diop
68′
73′
🔁 Jon Bautista
↦ Portu
73′
🔁 A. Januzaj
↦ A. Isak
Yoshinori Muto 🟨
80′
Sergi Enrich 🔁
↦ Miguel Atienza
80′
81′
🟨 Martín Zubimendi
85′
🔁 Zaldúa
↦ Gorosabel
85′
🔁 Martín Merquelanz
↦ Mikel Oyarzabal
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
1 M. Dmitrović G
23 Arbilla D
15 Cote D
4 Paulo Oliveira D
8 P. Diop M
21 Pedro León M
18 Recio M
22 Alejandro Pozo D
33 Miguel Atienza M
17 Kike F
25 Bryan Gil M
Bench (12)
20 Rober Correa
10 Edu Expósito
12 Y. Muto
9 Sergi Enrich
13 Yoel
14 T. Inui
7 Quique González
2 E. Burgos
19 Aleix García
11 Rafa
6 Sergio Álvarez
24 Kévin Rodrigues

Coach: Mendilibar

Sociedad

4-4-2
1 Álex Remiro G
20 Nacho Monreal D
18 Gorosabel D
24 R. Le Normand D
5 Zubeldía D
16 Guevara M
36 Martín Zubimendi M
7 Portu F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal M
19 A. Isak F
22 Barrenetxea M
Bench (9)
14 Jon Guridi
25 Jon Bautista
11 A. Januzaj
2 Zaldúa
17 Martín Merquelanz
28 Roberto López
33 Aritz Aranbarri
34 Gaizka Ayesa
15 M. Sagnan

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,14
U
3,47
B ✓
1,92
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,19
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Jorge Figueroa · 62 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.