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La Liga
Referee: Pablo González
Levante
T U T U T
3–4
Full-time
Valencia
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,7
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 18%
0%
35%
Points per game
0,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
47%
59%
Both score Ø 62%
53%
71%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
1,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

51% Possession 49%
15 Shots 15
9 Shots on target 8
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
6 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 20. · Valencia 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 18 13 4 1 +24 43
2 Sevilla 17 11 4 2 +16 37
3 Betis 18 10 3 5 +11 33
4 Vallecano 18 9 3 6 +8 30
5 Ath Madrid 17 8 5 4 +8 29
6 Sociedad 18 8 5 5 +0 29
7 Barcelona 17 7 6 4 +7 27
8 Valencia 17 6 7 4 +3 25
9 Ath Bilbao 18 5 9 4 +2 24
10 Espanol 18 6 5 7 -1 23
11 Villarreal 17 5 7 5 +3 22
12 Osasuna 18 5 7 6 -5 22
13 Celta 18 5 5 8 -2 20
14 Mallorca 18 4 8 6 -10 20
15 Granada 17 4 7 6 -4 19
16 Getafe 18 3 6 9 -8 15
17 Elche 18 3 6 9 -9 15
18 Alaves 17 4 3 10 -11 15
19 Cadiz 18 2 8 8 -16 14
20 Levante 17 0 8 9 -16 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Valencia
-5′
🟨 Uroš Račić
-5′
🟥 Uroš Račić
Óscar Duarte ℹ️
VAR: Penalty awarded
19′
20′
🟨 Mouctar Diakhaby
1–0 Campaña ⚽
21′
Pepelu 🟨
23′
2–0 Roger Martí ⚽
Morales
24′
44′
⚽ Gonçalo Guedes 2–1
Hugo Duro
Half-time 2–2
50′
⚽ Carlos Soler 2–2
Melero 🔁
↦ Pepelu
56′
José Luis Morales 🟨
58′
60′
🟨 Uroš Račić
60′
🔁 Marcos André
↦ D. Cheryshev
71′
🔁 Rubo Iranzo
↦ C. Piccini
72′
⚽ Carlos Soler 2–3
Gonçalo Guedes
E. Bardhi 🔁
↦ Dani Gómez
77′
Soldado 🔁
↦ Morales
77′
80′
🟨 Rubén Iranzo
85′
⚽ Gonçalo Guedes 2–4
Marcos André
Cantero 🔁
↦ Jorge de Frutos
86′
88′
🟨 Hélder Costa
89′
🔁 Y. Musah
↦ U. Račić
Roberto Soldado 🟨
90′
3–4 E. Bardhi ⚽
Soldado
91′
Enis Bardhi ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
92′
Roberto Soldado 🟨
95′
Roberto Soldado 🟥
95′
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Levante

4-4-2
34 Dani Cárdenas G
6 Ó. Duarte D
19 Clerc D
14 Rúben Vezo D
24 Campaña M
11 Morales M
8 Pepelu M
42 Marc Pubill D
9 Roger Martí F
21 Dani Gómez F
18 Jorge de Frutos M
Bench (12)
22 Melero
10 E. Bardhi
16 Soldado
29 Cantero
25 Pablo Martínez
3 Enric Franquesa
4 Rober
23 Coke
17 N. Vukčević
20 Miramón
7 Álex Blesa
1 Aitor Fernández

Coach: A. Lisci

Valencia

4-4-2
13 J. Cillessen G
24 C. Piccini D
14 José Gayà D
12 M. Diakhaby D
6 Hugo Guillamón D
17 D. Cheryshev M
7 Gonçalo Guedes F
10 Carlos Soler M
8 U. Račić M
11 Hélder Costa M
19 Hugo Duro F
Bench (12)
22 Marcos André
39 Rubo Iranzo
4 Y. Musah
38 César Tárrega
32 Jesús Vázquez
28 G. Mamardashvili
1 Jaume Doménech
26 Pedro Serna
23 Jason
40 L. Sangaré
16 Álex Blanco
21 Manu Vallejo

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,69
U
3,27
B ✓
2,71
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
2,06
U2,5
1,78
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Pablo González · 106 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
29,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.