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La Liga
Referee: David Medié
Levante
S S T S T
2–4
Full-time
Valencia
U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Valencia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
1,3
1,5
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
60%
47%
Both score Ø 67%
60%
73%
Average goals
2,6
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

49% Possession 51%
17 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 1
0 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 14
5 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 11. · Valencia 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 15 10 4 1 +21 34
2 Barcelona 14 10 1 3 +20 31
3 Sevilla 15 9 3 3 +5 30
4 Sociedad 15 8 2 5 +8 26
5 Ath Bilbao 15 7 5 3 +8 26
6 Ath Madrid 16 6 8 2 +6 26
7 Getafe 15 6 6 3 +7 24
8 Granada 16 7 3 6 +3 24
9 Valencia 15 6 5 4 +1 23
10 Osasuna 15 5 7 3 +4 22
11 Levante 15 6 2 7 -3 20
12 Villarreal 16 5 4 7 +4 19
13 Betis 15 5 4 6 -6 19
14 Valladolid 15 4 6 5 -4 18
15 Alaves 16 5 3 8 -6 18
16 Eibar 15 4 3 8 -12 15
17 Mallorca 15 4 2 9 -9 14
18 Celta 15 3 4 8 -10 13
19 Espanol 16 2 3 11 -20 9
20 Leganes 15 1 3 11 -17 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Valencia
Coke 🟨
7′
José Luis Morales 🟨
8′
1–0 Roger Martí
E. Bardhi
11′
2–0 Roger Martí
20′
Ruben Rochina 🟨
24′
27′
🔁 Jaume Doménech
↦ J. Cillessen
31′
🟨 Francis Coquelin
Eliseo 🟨
44′
Half-time 3–0
48′
Roger Martí 3–0
own goal
57′
K. Gameiro 3–1
Rodrigo
59′
K. Gameiro 3–2
Ferran Torres
N. Vukčević 🔁
↦ Rochina
70′
Borja Mayoral 🔁
↦ Morales
70′
Eliseo 🟨
74′
Eliseo 🟥
74′
Gonzalo 🔁
↦ Coke
77′
79′
🔁 M. Gómez
↦ K. Gameiro
84′
🔁 M. Diakhaby
↦ F. Coquelin
86′
🟨 Ferrán Torres
88′
Ferran Torres 3–3
Rodrigo
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Levante

4-4-2
13 Aitor G
20 Jorge Miramón D
40 Eliseo D
23 Coke D
19 Carlos Clerc D
16 Ruben Rochina M
24 José Campaña M
5 Nemanja Radoja M
10 Enis Bardhi M
11 José Luis Morales F
9 Roger Martí F
Bench (7)
1 Oier Olazábal
3 Toño
29 Gonzalo Pereira
17 Nikola Vukčević
21 Borja Mayoral
8 Hernani
7 Sergio León

Coach: Paco López

Valencia

4-1-4-1
13 Jasper Cillessen G
18 Daniel Wass D
24 Ezequiel Garay D
5 Gabriel Paulista D
3 Jaume Costa D
17 Francis Coquelin M
19 Rodrigo M
8 Carlos Soler M
10 Dani Parejo M
20 Ferrán Torres M
9 Kévin Gameiro F
Bench (7)
1 Jaume Doménech
14 José Luis Gayà
2 Thierry Correia
12 Mouctar Diakhaby
34 Vicente Esquerdo
22 Maximiliano Gómez
15 Manu Vallejo

Coach: Celades

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,05
U
3,76
B ✓
2,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,62
U2,5
2,30
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Medié · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.