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La Liga
Referee: Adrián Cordero
Alaves
T T S S U
2–1
Full-time
Levante
T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,3
3,2
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
0,5
2,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,5
This season — La Liga · 11/12 matches
Win Ø 14%
27%
0%
Points per game
0,9
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
18%
42%
Both score Ø 34%
18%
50%
Average goals
1,8
2,8
Scored
0,5
0,9
Conceded
1,3
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

61% Possession 39%
10 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 7
2 Blocked shots 1
6 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 3
2 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 18. · Levante 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 12 7 4 1 +7 25
2 Real Madrid 11 7 3 1 +14 24
3 Sevilla 11 7 3 1 +12 24
4 Ath Madrid 11 6 4 1 +8 22
5 Betis 12 6 3 3 +4 21
6 Vallecano 12 6 2 4 +6 20
7 Osasuna 12 5 4 3 -1 19
8 Ath Bilbao 12 4 6 2 +3 18
9 Barcelona 12 4 5 3 +4 17
10 Espanol 13 4 5 4 +1 17
11 Valencia 12 4 4 4 +1 16
12 Mallorca 12 3 5 4 -6 14
13 Villarreal 11 2 6 3 +1 12
14 Celta 13 3 3 7 -4 12
15 Cadiz 13 2 6 5 -7 12
16 Granada 12 2 5 5 -5 11
17 Elche 12 2 4 6 -6 10
18 Alaves 11 3 1 7 -8 10
19 Levante 12 0 6 6 -12 6
20 Getafe 12 1 3 8 -12 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alaves Levante
Toni Moya 🟨
12′
13′
Jorge de Frutos 0–1
M. Malsa
Half-time 0–1
55′
🟨 Enric Franquesa
Manu García 🔁
↦ Toni Moya
59′
Edgar Méndez 🔁
↦ F. Pellistri
59′
64′
🔁 Miramón
↦ Son
64′
🔁 Dani Gómez
↦ Soldado
J. Guidetti 🔁
↦ Pere Pons
68′
John Guidetti 🟨
70′
1–1 Joselu
77′
78′
🔁 Rober
↦ Morales
78′
🔁 Cantero
↦ Jorge de Frutos
86′
🔁 Pepelu
↦ M. Malsa
Iván Martín 🔁
↦ Luis Rioja
89′
91′
🟨 Dani Cárdenas
2–1 Joselu
Martín Aguirregabiria
91′
Víctor Laguardia 🟨
95′
95′
🟨 Pepelu
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Alaves

4-3-3
1 Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
22 F. Lejeune D
3 Rubén Duarte D
21 Martín Aguirregabiria D
20 Pere Pons M
15 Toni Moya M
6 M. Loum M
18 F. Pellistri F
9 Joselu F
11 Luis Rioja F
Bench (12)
14 Manu García
17 Edgar Méndez
10 J. Guidetti
19 Iván Martín
2 Alberto Rodríguez
7 M. Sylla
13 Sivera
12 Saúl García
24 Miguel de la Fuente
8 Pina
4 M. Miazga
27 Javi López

Coach: Javi Calleja

Levante

4-4-1-1
34 Dani Cárdenas G
6 Ó. Duarte D
14 Rúben Vezo D
2 Son D
3 Enric Franquesa D
24 Campaña M
11 Morales F
12 M. Malsa M
10 E. Bardhi M
16 Soldado F
18 Jorge de Frutos M
Bench (11)
20 Miramón
21 Dani Gómez
4 Rober
29 Cantero
8 Pepelu
5 N. Radoja
17 N. Vukčević
1 Aitor Fernández
7 Álex Blesa
23 Coke
25 Pablo Martínez

Coach: Javier Pereira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,49
U
3,07
B
3,15
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,41
U2,5
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Adrián Cordero · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.