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La Liga
Referee: Miguel Ortiz
Cadiz
T U S T T
0–4
Full-time
Ath Bilbao
T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Ath Bilbao
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
33%
0%
Both score Ø 9%
17%
0%
Average goals
2,0
0,8
Scored
0,8
0,5
Conceded
1,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
1,5
0,5
Scored
0,0
0,5
Conceded
1,5
0,0
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

37% Possession 63%
9 Shots 20
3 Shots on target 8
4 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
0 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 4
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 20. · Ath Bilbao 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Betis 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Barcelona 3 2 1 0 +7 7
4 Villarreal 3 2 1 0 +5 7
5 Osasuna 3 2 0 1 +2 6
6 Sociedad 3 2 0 1 -1 6
7 Mallorca 3 1 1 1 +1 4
8 Ath Bilbao 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Almeria 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Vallecano 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Celta 3 1 1 1 -2 4
12 Ath Madrid 2 1 0 1 +1 3
13 Girona 3 1 0 2 +0 3
14 Valencia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Sevilla 3 0 1 2 -2 1
16 Espanol 3 0 1 2 -4 1
17 Elche 3 0 1 2 -4 1
18 Getafe 3 0 1 2 -5 1
19 Valladolid 3 0 1 2 -7 1
20 Cadiz 2 0 0 2 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Ath Bilbao
Alfonso Espino 🟨
16′
24′
Iñaki Williams 0–1
39′
🟨 Íñigo Lekue
Half-time 0–1
Fede 🔁
↦ José Mari
46′
Víctor Chust 🔁
↦ Fali Jiménez
46′
54′
🔁 Gorka Guruzeta
↦ Iñaki Williams
56′
Gorka Guruzeta 0–2
Lekue
Iván Alejo 🟨
60′
A. Mabil 🔁
↦ A. Espino
61′
Álex 🔁
↦ Antonio Blanco
61′
Lucas Pérez 🔁
↦ A. Lozano
67′
78′
Álex Berenguer 0–3
Nico Williams
82′
🔁 Raúl García
↦ Nico Williams
88′
🔁 Aitor Paredes
↦ Lekue
88′
🔁 Jon Morcillo
↦ Álex Berenguer
88′
🔁 Dani García
↦ Oihan Sancet
93′
Gorka Guruzeta 0–4
Jon Morcillo
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 J. Ledesma G
2 Zaldúa D
23 Luis Hernández D
3 Fali Jiménez D
22 A. Espino D
11 Alejo M
36 Antonio Blanco M
6 José Mari M
21 S. Arzamendia M
9 A. Lozano F
18 Álvaro Negredo F
Bench (12)
24 Fede
32 Víctor Chust
17 A. Mabil
8 Álex
15 Lucas Pérez
19 Álvaro Giménez
13 David Gil
14 T. Bongonda
7 Sobrino
5 M. Mbaye
29 M. Diarra
16 Juan Cala

Coach: Sergio

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
1 Unai Simón G
18 De Marcos D
3 Dani Vivian D
5 Yeray D
15 Lekue D
8 Oihan Sancet M
6 Mikel Vesga M
11 Nico Williams M
10 Muniain M
7 Álex Berenguer M
9 Iñaki Williams F
Bench (10)
12 Gorka Guruzeta
22 Raúl García
31 Aitor Paredes
2 Jon Morcillo
14 Dani García
21 Capa
16 Unai Vencedor
35 Ander Iru
19 Oier Zarraga
20 Asier Villalibre

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,78
U
3,11
B ✓
2,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,52
U2,5
1,53
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Miguel Ortiz · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.