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Primeira Liga
Referee: Manuel Oliveira
Vizela
U T S T U
2–2
Full-time
Gil Vicente
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vizela Gil Vicente
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 17%
33%
0%
Average goals
1,3
0,7
Scored
0,7
0,3
Conceded
0,7
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

43% Possession 57%
18 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
5 Corners 10
7 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Vizela 11. · Gil Vicente 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Braga 4 3 1 0 +14 10
2 Benfica 3 3 0 0 +8 9
3 Porto 4 3 0 1 +6 9
4 Portimonense 4 3 0 1 +4 9
5 Estoril 4 2 1 1 +4 7
6 Chaves 4 2 1 1 +2 7
7 Casa Pia 4 2 1 1 +2 7
8 Guimaraes 4 2 0 2 +0 6
9 Boavista 4 2 0 2 -3 6
10 Arouca 4 2 0 2 -8 6
11 Vizela 3 1 1 1 +0 4
12 Gil Vicente 3 1 1 1 +0 4
13 Sp Lisbon 4 1 1 2 -2 4
14 Rio Ave 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Famalicao 4 1 1 2 -4 4
16 Santa Clara 4 0 1 3 -3 1
17 Pacos Ferreira 3 0 0 3 -7 0
18 Maritimo 4 0 0 4 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Vizela Gil Vicente
6′
ℹ️ Andrew
VAR: Penalty confirmed
Raphael Guzzo 🟨
7′
8′
Fran Navarro 0–1
26′
J. Boselli 0–2
K. Fujimoto
Kiki Afonso 🟨
28′
A. Méndez 🔁
↦ Diego Rosa
37′
39′
🟨 Pedro Tiba
1–2 Kiko Bondoso
Raphael Guzzo
45′
Half-time 1–2
M. Osmajić 🔁
↦ K. Zohi
46′
47′
🟨 Lucas Cunha
2–2 Anderson
Raphael Guzzo
50′
62′
🔁 G. Aburjania
↦ Pedro Tiba
66′
🟨 Giorgi Aburjania
70′
🟨 Juan Manuel Boselli
71′
🔁 A. Alipourghara
↦ Fran Navarro
71′
🔁 Kevin Villodres
↦ J. Boselli
Milutin Osmajić ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
76′
Igor Julião 🔁
↦ Tomás Silva
84′
F. Cann 🔁
↦ Nuno Moreira
84′
Claudemir 🔁
↦ Raphael Guzzo
84′
91′
🟨 Adrián Marín
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Vizela

4-3-3
97 F. Buntić G
82 Tomás Silva D
3 Bruno Wilson D
5 Anderson D
24 Kiki D
17 Diego Rosa M
8 Raphael Guzzo M
20 Samú M
22 K. Zohi F
10 Kiko Bondoso F
79 Nuno Moreira F
Bench (9)
19 A. Méndez
9 M. Osmajić
14 Igor Julião
99 F. Cann
6 Claudemir
13 Luiz Felipe
23 Osama Rashid
70 A. Alvarado
4 Ivanildo Fernandes

Coach: Álvaro Pacheco

Gil Vicente

4-3-3
42 Andrew G
15 Carraça D
3 Lucas Cunha D
26 Rúben Fernandes D
19 Adrián Marín D
10 K. Fujimoto M
21 Vitor Carvalho M
25 Pedro Tiba M
20 J. Boselli F
9 Fran Navarro F
18 M. Arai F
Bench (9)
8 G. Aburjania
30 A. Alipourghara
17 Kevin Villodres
12 Brian Araújo
4 Manuel Lopes
93 Élder Santana
57 Matheus Bueno
72 Tomás Araújo
5 E. Hackman

Coach: Ivo Vieira

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,40
U ✓
3,24
B
2,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,03
U2,5
1,77
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Manuel Oliveira · 149 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.