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La Liga
Referee: Juan Luis Pulido Santana
Granada
T T U T T
2–0
Full-time
Cadiz
U T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,3
1,8
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 9%
6%
11%
Points per game
0,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
50%
28%
Both score Ø 56%
61%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,1
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,1
-0,6
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,97 xG 0,81
56% Possession 44%
15 Shots 15
8 Shots on target 2
1 Blocked shots 7
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Granada 19. · Cadiz 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 18 14 3 1 +28 +14.4 45
2 Girona 18 14 3 1 +21 +8.8 45
3 Ath Madrid 18 12 2 4 +17 +10.7 38
4 Barcelona 18 11 5 2 +13 +22.6 38
5 Ath Bilbao 18 10 5 3 +15 +15.1 35
6 Sociedad 19 8 8 3 +11 +1.7 32
7 Betis 18 6 10 2 +2 -0.3 28
8 Getafe 19 6 8 5 -1 -4.4 26
9 Valencia 19 7 5 7 -1 -0.6 26
10 Las Palmas 18 7 4 7 +0 -9.1 25
11 Vallecano 19 5 8 6 -6 -3.6 23
12 Osasuna 18 5 4 9 -8 -4.9 19
13 Villarreal 19 5 4 10 -11 -7.5 19
14 Mallorca 18 3 9 6 -5 -2.8 18
15 Alaves 19 4 5 10 -10 +1.0 17
16 Sevilla 18 3 7 8 -2 -7.1 16
17 Cadiz 18 2 9 7 -10 -10.3 15
18 Celta 18 2 7 9 -10 -2.2 13
19 Granada 18 1 5 12 -20 -13.1 8
20 Almeria 18 0 5 13 -23 -8.4 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Granada Cadiz
21′
🟨 Rubén Alcaraz
1–0 Myrto Uzuni
Lucas Boyé
22′
Myrto Uzuni ℹ️
VAR: Goal confirmed
24′
42′
🟨 Álex Fernández
43′
🟨 Chris Ramos
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Robert Navarro
↦ Darwin Machís
46′
🔁 Rominigue Kouamé
↦ Álex Fernández
50′
ℹ️ Rubén Sobrino
VAR: Penalty cancelled
54′
🟥 Rubén Sobrino
54′
ℹ️ Rubén Sobrino
VAR: Card upgrade
58′
🔁 Sergi Guardiola
↦ Maximiliano Gómez
Ricard Sánchez 🟨
64′
Lucas Boyé 🟨
65′
2–0 Bryan Zaragoza
Carlos Neva
70′
José Callejón 🔁
↦ Lucas Boyé
72′
76′
🔁 Brian Ocampo
↦ Rubén Alcaraz
Miguel Rubio 🔁
↦ Bruno Méndez
79′
Jesús Vallejo 🔁
↦ Ricard Sánchez
80′
Matías Arezo 🔁
↦ Myrto Uzuni
80′
80′
🔁 Álvaro Negredo
↦ Chris Ramos
Ignasi Miquel 🟨
86′
Antonio Puertas 🔁
↦ Álvaro Fernández
88′
98′
🟨 Fali
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Granada

4-4-2
25 Augusto Batalla G
12 Ricard Sánchez D
2 Bruno Méndez D
14 Ignasi Miquel D
15 Carlos Neva D
26 Bryan Zaragoza M
20 Sergio Ruiz Alonso M
24 Gonzalo Villar M
33 Álvaro Fernández M
11 Myrto Uzuni F
7 Lucas Boyé F
Bench (12)
9 José Callejón
4 Miguel Rubio
5 Jesús Vallejo
8 Matías Arezo
10 Antonio Puertas
13 André Ferreira
31 Adri López
28 Raúl Torrente
16 Víctor Díaz
3 Wilson Manafá
21 Óscar Melendo
18 Njegoš Petrović

Coach: A. Medina

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 Jeremías Ledesma G
20 Iza Carcelén D
23 Luis Hernández D
3 Fali D
33 Lucas Pires D
18 Darwin Machís M
8 Álex Fernández M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
7 Rubén Sobrino M
16 Chris Ramos F
25 Maximiliano Gómez F
Bench (12)
12 Rominigue Kouamé
27 Robert Navarro
19 Sergi Guardiola
10 Brian Ocampo
9 Álvaro Negredo
13 David Gil
5 Víctor Chust
15 Javier Hernández
14 Mamadou Mbaye
22 Jorge Meré
2 Joseba Zaldúa
24 Fede San Emeterio

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,26
U
3,19
B
3,49
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,61
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Juan Luis Pulido Santana · 20 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.