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Super League

Referee: A Evangelou

Asteras Tripolis

S S T S S

3–2

Full-time

Aris Thessalonikis

S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Asteras Tripolis Aris Thessalonikis

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,3

This season — Super League · 17/15 matches

Win Ø 44%

41%

47%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

65%

40%

Both score Ø 44%

47%

40%

Average goals

3,1

2,5

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

48% Possession 52%

11 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 1

3 Offside 7

19 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Asteras Tripolis 7. · Aris Thessalonikis 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	16	11	3	2	+28	36
2	Olympiakos	16	11	3	2	+25	36
3	AEK	16	10	5	1	+15	35
4	Panathinaikos	16	11	1	4	+28	34
5	Aris Thessalonikis	15	7	3	5	+4	24
6	Aris	16	7	3	6	+3	24
7	Asteras Tripolis	17	7	2	8	-6	23
8	Lamia	17	5	6	6	-9	21
9	Atromitos	16	4	7	5	-7	19
10	OFI Crete	17	4	6	7	-9	18
11	Panserraikos	16	3	5	8	-13	14
12	Volos NFC	16	3	5	8	-14	14
13	Kifisia	16	2	6	8	-18	12
14	Panetolikos	16	2	5	9	-15	11
15	Giannina	16	1	6	9	-12	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	9	7	2	0	+18	23
2	Olympiakos	9	7	0	2	+17	21
3	AEK	8	6	2	0	+11	20
4	Aris Thessalonikis	9	6	2	1	+8	20
5	Aris	9	6	2	1	+8	20
6	OFI Crete	9	4	3	2	+1	15
7	Lamia	8	4	2	2	+2	14
8	Panathinaikos	6	4	1	1	+16	13
9	Panserraikos	6	3	2	1	+3	11
10	Atromitos	7	2	5	0	+2	11
11	Kifisia	9	2	4	3	-6	10
12	Asteras Tripolis	9	3	1	5	-7	10
13	Panetolikos	7	2	3	2	-1	9
14	Volos NFC	9	2	2	5	-7	8
15	Giannina	7	1	2	4	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	10	7	0	3	+12	21
2	Olympiakos	7	4	3	0	+8	15
3	AEK	8	4	3	1	+4	15
4	PAOK	7	4	1	2	+10	13
5	Asteras Tripolis	8	4	1	3	+1	13
6	Atromitos	9	2	2	5	-9	8
7	Lamia	9	1	4	4	-11	7
8	Volos NFC	7	1	3	3	-7	6
9	Aris Thessalonikis	6	1	1	4	-4	4
10	Aris	7	1	1	5	-5	4
11	Giannina	9	0	4	5	-8	4
12	OFI Crete	8	0	3	5	-10	3
13	Panserraikos	10	0	3	7	-16	3
14	Kifisia	7	0	2	5	-12	2
15	Panetolikos	9	0	2	7	-14	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.