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La Liga

Referee: Pablo Gonzales Fuertes

Real Madrid

U S S S S

2–0

Full-time

Granada

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Real Madrid Granada

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

83%

17%

Points per game

2,7

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,8

Scored

2,8

1,2

Conceded

0,7

1,7

Goal diff per game

+2,2

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 14/14 matches

Win Ø 43%

79%

Points per game

2,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

64%

57%

Both score Ø 61%

50%

71%

Average goals

2,9

3,7

Scored

2,2

1,4

Conceded

0,6

2,4

Goal diff per game

+1,6

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,81 xG 0,10

71% Possession 29%

11 Shots 1

4 Shots on target 0

3 Blocked shots 0

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 0

7 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Real Madrid 2. · Granada 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Girona	15	12	2	1	+16	+9.0	38
2	Real Madrid	14	11	2	1	+22	+11.5	35
3	Ath Madrid	13	10	1	2	+18	+13.2	31
4	Barcelona	14	9	4	1	+13	+14.2	31
5	Ath Bilbao	15	8	4	3	+12	+9.5	28
6	Sociedad	14	7	4	3	+8	+1.7	25
7	Betis	14	6	6	2	+2	+1.4	24
8	Las Palmas	15	6	3	6	+0	-3.7	21
9	Valencia	15	5	4	6	-3	+0.8	19
10	Getafe	15	4	7	4	-3	-4.9	19
11	Vallecano	15	4	7	4	-6	-5.8	19
12	Villarreal	14	4	3	7	-4	-5.3	15
13	Alaves	14	4	3	7	-5	+1.1	15
14	Osasuna	14	4	2	8	-8	-5.7	14
15	Sevilla	13	2	6	5	+0	-5.3	12
16	Cadiz	14	2	5	7	-10	-8.4	11
17	Mallorca	14	1	7	6	-7	-4.2	10
18	Celta	14	1	5	8	-10	-3.1	8
19	Granada	14	1	4	9	-14	-10.6	7
20	Almeria	14	0	3	11	-21	-5.4	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	7	7	0	0	+10	+9.3	21
2	Girona	8	6	1	1	+8	+3.1	19
3	Barcelona	7	6	0	1	+10	+6.6	18
4	Ath Bilbao	8	5	2	1	+11	+8.7	17
5	Betis	7	5	2	0	+8	+5.9	17
6	Sociedad	8	5	2	1	+7	+0.3	17
7	Real Madrid	6	5	1	0	+12	+9.0	16
8	Getafe	7	4	3	0	+4	+1.0	15
9	Las Palmas	7	4	2	1	+4	-0.2	14
10	Valencia	7	4	1	2	+5	+4.5	13
11	Alaves	7	4	1	2	+1	+3.5	13
12	Sevilla	7	2	3	2	+3	-1.1	9
13	Cadiz	7	2	3	2	-1	+2.4	9
14	Villarreal	8	2	1	5	-2	-1.0	7
15	Vallecano	7	1	4	2	-6	-4.7	7
16	Granada	7	1	3	3	-4	-4.7	6
17	Mallorca	6	0	5	1	-1	-1.5	5
18	Osasuna	7	1	2	4	-5	-0.2	5
19	Celta	7	0	3	4	-7	+0.6	3
20	Almeria	7	0	2	5	-8	-0.4	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Real Madrid	8	6	1	1	+10	+2.5	19
2	Girona	7	6	1	0	+8	+5.9	19
3	Barcelona	7	3	4	0	+3	+7.6	13
4	Vallecano	8	3	3	2	+0	-1.1	12
5	Ath Bilbao	7	3	2	2	+1	+0.7	11
6	Ath Madrid	6	3	1	2	+8	+3.9	10
7	Osasuna	7	3	0	4	-3	-5.5	9
8	Sociedad	6	2	2	2	+1	+1.3	8
9	Villarreal	6	2	2	2	-2	-4.3	8
10	Las Palmas	8	2	1	5	-4	-3.4	7
11	Betis	7	1	4	2	-6	-4.4	7
12	Valencia	8	1	3	4	-8	-3.7	6
13	Celta	7	1	2	4	-3	-3.7	5
14	Mallorca	8	1	2	5	-6	-2.8	5
15	Getafe	8	0	4	4	-7	-5.9	4
16	Sevilla	6	0	3	3	-3	-4.2	3
17	Alaves	7	0	2	5	-6	-2.4	2
18	Cadiz	7	0	2	5	-9	-10.8	2
19	Granada	7	0	1	6	-10	-5.9	1
20	Almeria	7	0	1	6	-13	-5.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.