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La Liga
Referee: Javier Alberola Rojas
Girona
S T S T T
1–3
Full-time
Vallecano
S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

0,56 xG 3,43
44% Possession 56%
7 Shots 16
2 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 17
0 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0

Match report

Girona Vallecano
15′
🟨 Luiz Felipe
18′
J. de Frutos 0–1
20′
A. Garcia 0–2
J. de Frutos
Paulo Gazzaniga 🟥
43′
V. Krapyvtsov 🔁
↦ B. Miovski
45′
45′
I. Palazon 0–3
Half-time 0–3
Portu 🔁
↦ Y. Asprilla
46′
46′
🔁 P. Fernandez
↦ Luiz Felipe
1–3 J. Roca
V. Tsygankov
57′
H. Rincon 🔁
↦ A. Martinez
58′
Vitor Reis 🔁
↦ D. Blind
58′
T. Lemar 🔁
↦ Y. Herrera
70′
70′
🔁 G. Gumbau
↦ P. Diaz
81′
🔁 R. Nteka
↦ J. de Frutos
81′
🔁 O. Valentin
↦ U. Lopez
85′
🔁 Pacha
↦ A. Garcia
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Girona

4-3-3
13 P. Gazzaniga G
4 A. Martinez D
5 D. Lopez D
18 L. Krejci D
17 D. Blind D
21 Y. Herrera M
22 J. E. Solis Romero M
33 J. Roca M
15 V. Tsygankov F
19 B. Miovski F
10 Y. Asprilla F
Bench (10)
1 Juan Carlos
25 V. Krapyvtsov
2 H. Rincon
8 Portu
11 T. Lemar
12 Vitor Reis
16 A. Frances
23 I. Martin
28 G. Jordana
44 P. Ba

Coach: Miguel Ángel Sánchez Muñoz

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
13 A. Batalla G
2 A. Ratiu D
24 F. Lejeune D
5 Luiz Felipe D
3 P. Chavarria D
6 P. Ciss M
17 U. Lopez M
7 I. Palazon M
4 P. Diaz M
18 A. Garcia M
19 J. de Frutos F
Bench (12)
1 D. Cardenas
8 O. Trejo
10 S. Camello
11 R. Nteka
15 G. Gumbau
20 I. Balliu
21 F. Perez
22 Pacha
23 O. Valentin
27 P. Fernandez
28 S. Becerra
33 J. Vertrouwd

Coach: Iñigo Pérez Soto

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,24
U
3,26
B ✓
3,26
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,14
U2,5
1,68
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Javier Alberola Rojas · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.