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Ekstraklasa

Referee: M Kochanek

Cracovia

S S S U T

1–0

Full-time

Widzew Lodz

T S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Widzew Lodz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,2

2,7

Scored

2,5

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

75%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

4,5

2,8

Scored

2,5

1,8

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,98 xG 1,05

44% Possession 56%

8 Shots 14

2 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 8

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cracovia 6. · Widzew Lodz 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Wisla Plock	4	3	1	0	+5	+4.8	10
2	Legia	3	2	1	0	+4	+3.6	7
3	Radomiak Radom	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.1	7
4	Widzew Lodz	4	2	1	1	+3	+2.2	7
5	Nieciecza	4	2	1	1	+3	-0.2	7
6	Cracovia	4	2	1	1	+2	+2.6	7
7	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+0	-2.5	6
8	Gornik Zabrze	4	2	0	2	+0	-0.2	6
9	Lech Poznan	3	2	0	1	-1	+3.4	6
10	Zaglebie	4	1	2	1	+3	+2.2	5
11	Arka Gdynia	4	1	2	1	+0	-3.8	5
12	Korona Kielce	4	1	1	2	-1	-2.1	4
13	Pogon Szczecin	4	1	1	2	-2	+2.0	4
14	Motor Lublin	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.0	4
15	Rakow	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.3	3
16	Lechia Gdansk	5	0	2	3	-6	-4.3	2
17	GKS Katowice	4	0	1	3	-6	-5.4	1
18	Piast Gliwice	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Widzew Lodz	3	2	1	0	+4	+1.1	7
2	Radomiak Radom	2	2	0	0	+6	+1.2	6
3	Wisla Plock	2	2	0	0	+4	+3.8	6
4	Jagiellonia	3	2	0	1	+0	-2.5	6
5	Zaglebie	2	1	1	0	+4	+1.2	4
6	Cracovia	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.6	4
7	Legia	2	1	1	0	+2	+2.3	4
8	Arka Gdynia	2	1	1	0	+1	-1.8	4
9	Pogon Szczecin	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.3	3
10	Korona Kielce	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.0	3
11	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
12	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
13	Lech Poznan	2	1	0	1	-2	+1.7	3
14	Nieciecza	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
15	Lechia Gdansk	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.2	1
16	GKS Katowice	2	0	1	1	-1	-3.0	1
17	Rakow	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.1	0
18	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nieciecza	3	2	0	1	+3	-0.5	6
2	Wisla Plock	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.0	4
3	Legia	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.2	3
4	Lech Poznan	1	1	0	0	+1	+1.8	3
5	Cracovia	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.0	3
6	Gornik Zabrze	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.7	3
7	Rakow	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.8	3
8	Zaglebie	2	0	1	1	-1	+1.0	1
9	Arka Gdynia	2	0	1	1	-1	-2.0	1
10	Korona Kielce	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.2	1
11	Motor Lublin	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.9	1
12	Radomiak Radom	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.3	1
13	Lechia Gdansk	3	0	1	2	-5	-4.2	1
14	Pogon Szczecin	3	0	1	2	-5	+1.6	1
15	Widzew Lodz	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.0	0
16	Piast Gliwice	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
17	GKS Katowice	2	0	0	2	-5	-2.4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.