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Serie A

Referee: G Calvarese

Brescia

T T S T T

0–0

Full-time

Fiorentina

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brescia Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,0

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,5

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

This season — Serie A · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 38%

33%

43%

Points per game

1,0

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

50%

71%

Both score Ø 61%

50%

71%

Average goals

2,7

3,1

Scored

1,2

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

3 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 9

2 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 16

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Brescia 17. · Fiorentina 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	8	7	1	0	+8	22
2	Inter	8	7	0	1	+11	21
3	Atalanta	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	Napoli	8	5	1	2	+7	16
5	Cagliari	8	4	2	2	+5	14
6	Roma	8	3	4	1	+2	13
7	Lazio	8	3	3	2	+7	12
8	Parma	8	4	0	4	+2	12
9	Fiorentina	7	3	2	2	+2	11
10	Torino	8	3	1	4	-1	10
11	Udinese	8	3	1	4	-2	10
12	Milan	8	3	1	4	-3	10
13	Bologna	8	2	3	3	-1	9
14	Verona	8	2	3	3	-1	9
15	Lecce	8	2	1	5	-8	7
16	Sassuolo	7	2	0	5	-2	6
17	Brescia	6	2	0	4	-2	6
18	Spal	8	2	0	6	-9	6
19	Genoa	8	1	2	5	-11	5
20	Sampdoria	8	1	1	6	-12	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Inter	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Napoli	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Parma	5	3	0	2	+3	9
5	Udinese	5	3	0	2	+0	9
6	Lazio	4	2	2	0	+6	8
7	Cagliari	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Fiorentina	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Torino	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	4	2	0	2	+2	6
11	Spal	4	2	0	2	-1	6
12	Verona	4	1	2	1	+1	5
13	Roma	4	1	2	1	+0	5
14	Atalanta	3	1	1	1	+1	4
15	Bologna	3	1	1	1	+0	4
16	Genoa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Milan	4	1	1	2	-3	4
18	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	-4	4
19	Brescia	2	0	0	2	-2	0
20	Lecce	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Atalanta	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Inter	4	4	0	0	+6	12
3	Juventus	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Roma	4	2	2	0	+2	8
5	Napoli	4	2	1	1	+3	7
6	Cagliari	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Lecce	5	2	1	2	-3	7
8	Milan	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Brescia	4	2	0	2	+0	6
10	Bologna	5	1	2	2	-1	5
11	Fiorentina	3	1	1	1	+1	4
12	Lazio	4	1	1	2	+1	4
13	Verona	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Parma	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Torino	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Udinese	3	0	1	2	-2	1
17	Genoa	4	0	1	3	-10	1
18	Sassuolo	3	0	0	3	-4	0
19	Sampdoria	4	0	0	4	-8	0
20	Spal	4	0	0	4	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.