← Match Finder
Serie A
Referee: G Rocchi
Brescia
S T
3–4
Full-time
Bologna
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Brescia Bologna
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
0%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
1,0
3,7
Scored
0,5
2,2
Conceded
0,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Serie A · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,0
1,5
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
0,5
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

32% Possession 68%
9 Shots 17
7 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 10
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 6
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brescia 13. · Bologna 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 3 3 0 0 +6 9
2 Juventus 3 2 1 0 +2 7
3 Napoli 3 2 0 1 +2 6
4 Torino 2 2 0 0 +2 6
5 Atalanta 3 2 0 1 +1 6
6 Lazio 2 1 1 0 +3 4
7 Verona 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Bologna 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 Genoa 3 1 1 1 +0 4
10 Sassuolo 2 1 0 1 +2 3
11 Parma 2 1 0 1 +1 3
12 Milan 2 1 0 1 +0 3
13 Brescia 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Udinese 3 1 0 2 -2 3
15 Roma 2 0 2 0 +0 2
16 Fiorentina 3 0 1 2 -2 1
17 Spal 2 0 0 2 -2 0
18 Cagliari 2 0 0 2 -2 0
19 Lecce 2 0 0 2 -5 0
20 Sampdoria 3 0 0 3 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brescia Bologna
1–0 Alfredo Donnarumma ⚽
Rômulo
10′
12′
🟨 Mattia Bani
2–0 Alfredo Donnarumma ⚽
Aleš Matějů
19′
Daniele Dessena 🟨
21′
36′
⚽ Mattia Bani 2–1
Nicola Sansone
3–1 Andrea Cistana ⚽
Sandro Tonali
42′
45′
🟨 Stefano Denswil
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 Federico Santander
↦ Blerim Džemaili
Daniele Dessena 🟨
48′
Daniele Dessena 🟥
48′
53′
🔁 Andrea Poli
↦ Mattia Bani
56′
⚽ Rodrigo Palacio 3–2
Riccardo Orsolini
60′
⚽ Stefano Sabelli 4–2
own goal
Jaromír Zmrhal 🔁
↦ Alfredo Donnarumma
63′
67′
🟨 Federico Santander
69′
🟨 Roberto Soriano
Nikolas Špalek 🔁
↦ Sandro Tonali
79′
80′
⚽ Riccardo Orsolini 4–3
Rodrigo Palacio
83′
🟨 Gary Medel
Alessandro Matri 🔁
↦ Rômulo
84′
89′
🔁 Andreas Skov Olsen
↦ Rodrigo Palacio
90′
🟨 Andreas Skov Olsen
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Brescia

4-3-1-2
1 Jesse Joronen G
2 Stefano Sabelli D
15 Andrea Cistana D
14 Jhon Chancellor D
3 Aleš Matějů D
25 Dimitri Bisoli M
4 Sandro Tonali M
27 Daniele Dessena M
28 Rômulo M
9 Alfredo Donnarumma F
18 Florian Aye F
Bench (8)
22 Enrico Alfonso
29 Alessandro Semprini
5 Daniele Gastaldello
32 Luca Tremolada
8 Jaromír Zmrhal
23 Leonardo Morosini
7 Nikolas Špalek
21 Alessandro Matri

Coach: E. Corini

Bologna

4-2-3-1
28 Łukasz Skorupski G
14 Takehiro Tomiyasu D
13 Mattia Bani D
4 Stefano Denswil D
35 Mitchell Dijks D
5 Gary Medel M
31 Blerim Džemaili M
7 Riccardo Orsolini M
21 Roberto Soriano M
10 Nicola Sansone M
24 Rodrigo Palacio F
Bench (12)
1 Angelo Da Costa
97 Mouhamadou Fallou Mbacke Sarr
25 Gabriele Corbo
15 Ibrahima Mbaye
6 Nehuén Paz
11 Ladislav Krejčí
32 Mattias Svanberg
16 Andrea Poli
30 Jerdy Schouten
17 Andreas Skov Olsen
9 Federico Santander
22 Mattia Destro

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,04
🔒
U
3,29
🔒
B ✓
2,41
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,95
🔒
U2,5
1,87
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

G Rocchi · 16 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
30,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,38 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.