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Serie A

Referee: R Abisso

Milan

S S S S T

1–0

Full-time

Brescia

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Milan Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/1 matches

Win Ø 84%

67%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,0

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

1,0

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

62% Possession 38%

11 Shots 4

6 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 3

0 Offside 6

14 Free kicks against 18

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Milan 16. · Brescia 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bologna	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Spal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Torino	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Bologna	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Roma	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Verona	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Fiorentina	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Cagliari	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Sampdoria	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lazio	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Napoli	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Atalanta	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Juventus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Genoa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Bologna	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sassuolo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Milan	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Spal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Lecce	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.