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Serie A

Referee: G Manganiello

Sassuolo

S U S S T

3–0

Full-time

Brescia

T T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

This season — Serie A · 24/25 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

16%

Points per game

1,2

0,6

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

75%

60%

Both score Ø 60%

67%

52%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,6

0,9

Conceded

1,6

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

70% Possession 30%

13 Shots 6

10 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 4

4 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sassuolo 13. · Brescia 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	26	20	3	3	+26	63
2	Lazio	26	19	5	2	+37	62
3	Inter	25	16	6	3	+25	54
4	Atalanta	25	14	6	5	+36	48
5	Roma	26	13	6	7	+16	45
6	Napoli	26	11	6	9	+5	39
7	Milan	26	10	6	10	-6	36
8	Verona	25	9	8	8	+3	35
9	Parma	25	10	5	10	+1	35
10	Bologna	26	9	7	10	-4	34
11	Cagliari	25	8	8	9	+1	32
12	Fiorentina	26	7	9	10	-4	30
13	Sassuolo	24	8	5	11	-1	29
14	Udinese	26	7	7	12	-16	28
15	Torino	25	8	3	14	-17	27
16	Sampdoria	25	7	5	13	-16	26
17	Genoa	26	6	7	13	-16	25
18	Lecce	26	6	7	13	-22	25
19	Spal	26	5	3	18	-24	18
20	Brescia	25	4	4	17	-24	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	13	12	1	0	+21	37
2	Lazio	14	11	3	0	+29	36
3	Inter	12	7	4	1	+13	25
4	Roma	13	6	3	4	+7	21
5	Verona	12	6	3	3	+5	21
6	Atalanta	12	6	2	4	+14	20
7	Parma	13	6	1	6	+5	19
8	Udinese	13	5	4	4	-2	19
9	Cagliari	13	5	2	6	+2	17
10	Napoli	13	5	2	6	-1	17
11	Bologna	13	4	5	4	-2	17
12	Milan	13	4	5	4	-2	17
13	Sassuolo	12	5	1	6	+3	16
14	Sampdoria	14	4	4	6	-6	16
15	Fiorentina	13	3	5	5	-4	14
16	Torino	12	4	2	6	-11	14
17	Genoa	12	4	1	7	-4	13
18	Lecce	13	2	5	6	-7	11
19	Spal	12	2	2	8	-9	8
20	Brescia	13	1	3	9	-12	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	13	9	2	2	+12	29
2	Atalanta	13	8	4	1	+22	28
3	Lazio	12	8	2	2	+8	26
4	Juventus	13	8	2	3	+5	26
5	Roma	13	7	3	3	+9	24
6	Napoli	13	6	4	3	+6	22
7	Milan	13	6	1	6	-4	19
8	Bologna	13	5	2	6	-2	17
9	Fiorentina	13	4	4	5	+0	16
10	Parma	12	4	4	4	-4	16
11	Cagliari	12	3	6	3	-1	15
12	Verona	13	3	5	5	-2	14
13	Lecce	13	4	2	7	-15	14
14	Sassuolo	12	3	4	5	-4	13
15	Torino	13	4	1	8	-6	13
16	Genoa	14	2	6	6	-12	12
17	Sampdoria	11	3	1	7	-10	10
18	Brescia	12	3	1	8	-12	10
19	Spal	14	3	1	10	-15	10
20	Udinese	13	2	3	8	-14	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.