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Serie A
Referee: D Doveri
Bologna
S U T U S
2–1
Full-time
Brescia
U T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bologna Brescia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,8
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,3
This season — Serie A · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 26%
33%
19%
Points per game
1,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
67%
62%
Both score Ø 65%
81%
48%
Average goals
3,1
2,8
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

65% Possession 35%
17 Shots 3
7 Shots on target 1
6 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 14
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bologna 11. · Brescia 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 21 16 3 2 +19 51
2 Inter 21 14 6 1 +24 48
3 Lazio 20 14 4 2 +28 46
4 Roma 21 11 6 4 +15 39
5 Atalanta 21 11 5 5 +29 38
6 Cagliari 21 8 7 6 +4 31
7 Parma 21 9 4 8 +2 31
8 Milan 21 9 4 8 -4 31
9 Verona 20 8 5 7 +3 29
10 Napoli 21 7 6 8 +1 27
11 Bologna 21 7 6 8 -1 27
12 Torino 21 8 3 10 -9 27
13 Fiorentina 21 6 7 8 -4 25
14 Udinese 21 7 3 11 -14 24
15 Sassuolo 21 6 5 10 -3 23
16 Sampdoria 21 5 5 11 -13 20
17 Lecce 21 3 7 11 -19 16
18 Spal 21 4 3 14 -18 15
19 Genoa 21 3 6 12 -20 15
20 Brescia 21 4 3 14 -20 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. Sep -19 Brescia – Bologna 3–4

Match report

Bologna Brescia
Musa Barrow 🔁
↦ Nicola Sansone
12′
Ibrahima Mbaye 🟨
34′
36′
Ernesto Torregrossa 0–1
41′
🟨 Ernesto Torregrossa
1–1 Riccardo Orsolini
Ibrahima Mbaye
43′
Danilo 🟨
45′
45′
🟨 Rômulo
Half-time 1–1
Andrea Poli 🟨
46′
61′
🔁 Bruno Martella
↦ Daniele Dessena
Andreas Skov Olsen 🔁
↦ Riccardo Orsolini
72′
72′
🔁 Emanuele Ndoj
↦ Rômulo
77′
🔁 Alfredo Donnarumma
↦ Florian Aye
Federico Santander 🔁
↦ Ibrahima Mbaye
81′
2–1 Mattia Bani
Rodrigo Palacio
89′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Bologna

4-2-3-1
28 Łukasz Skorupski G
15 Ibrahima Mbaye D
13 Mattia Bani D
23 Danilo D
4 Stefano Denswil D
16 Andrea Poli M
30 Jerdy Schouten M
7 Riccardo Orsolini M
21 Roberto Soriano M
10 Nicola Sansone M
24 Rodrigo Palacio F
Bench (9)
97 Mouhamadou Fallou Mbacke Sarr
1 Angelo Da Costa
25 Gabriele Corbo
62 Gabriele Boloca
8 Nicolás Domínguez
32 Mattias Svanberg
99 Musa Barrow
9 Federico Santander
17 Andreas Skov Olsen

Coach: S. Mihajlović

Brescia

4-3-1-2
1 Jesse Joronen G
2 Stefano Sabelli D
15 Andrea Cistana D
14 Jhon Chancellor D
3 Aleš Matějů D
25 Dimitri Bisoli M
4 Sandro Tonali M
27 Daniele Dessena M
28 Rômulo M
18 Florian Aye F
11 Ernesto Torregrossa F
Bench (9)
12 Lorenzo Andrenacci
22 Enrico Alfonso
26 Bruno Martella
5 Daniele Gastaldello
31 Birkir Bjarnason
7 Nikolas Špalek
6 Emanuele Ndoj
19 Massimiliano Mangraviti
9 Alfredo Donnarumma

Coach: E. Corini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,69
U
4,01
B
4,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,70
U2,5
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Doveri · 126 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.