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Serie A
Referee: F Maresca
Torino
T T T T U
1–0
Full-time
Udinese
T U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Torino Udinese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
67%
0%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,5
1,3
Scored
0,5
0,3
Conceded
3,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,5
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 29%
31%
27%
Points per game
1,1
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
62%
38%
Both score Ø 44%
50%
38%
Average goals
2,9
2,2
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
4 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 16
0 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 11
0 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Torino 15. · Udinese 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 27 21 3 3 +28 66
2 Lazio 26 19 5 2 +37 62
3 Inter 26 17 6 3 +26 57
4 Atalanta 26 15 6 5 +39 51
5 Roma 26 13 6 7 +16 45
6 Napoli 27 12 6 9 +7 42
7 Milan 27 11 6 10 -3 39
8 Verona 27 10 8 9 +2 38
9 Parma 26 10 6 10 +1 36
10 Cagliari 27 9 8 10 +1 35
11 Bologna 27 9 7 11 -6 34
12 Sassuolo 26 9 5 12 -1 32
13 Fiorentina 27 7 10 10 -4 31
14 Udinese 26 7 7 12 -16 28
15 Torino 26 8 4 14 -17 28
16 Sampdoria 26 7 5 14 -17 26
17 Genoa 26 6 7 13 -16 25
18 Lecce 27 6 7 14 -25 25
19 Spal 27 5 3 19 -25 18
20 Brescia 27 4 5 18 -27 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Torino Udinese
1–0 A. Belotti
S. Edera
16′
S. Meite 🟨
18′
S. Edera 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
54′
🔁 R. Mandragora
↦ M. Jajalo
55′
🔁 I. Nestorovski
↦ K. Lasagna
64′
🟨 S. Fofana
S. Edera 🔁
↦ O. Aina
65′
S. Zaza 🔁
↦ S. Lukic
75′
76′
🔁 S. De Maio
↦ R. Becao
76′
🔁 Samir
↦ L. Teodorczyk
85′
🟨 R. De Paul
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Torino

3-4-1-2
39 Salvatore Sirigu G
5 Armando Izzo D
33 Nicolas N'Koulou D
36 Gleison Bremer D
29 Lorenzo De Silvestri M
23 Soualiho Meïté M
88 Tomás Rincón M
21 Alex Berenguer M
20 Simone Edera F
11 Simone Zaza F
9 Andrea Belotti F
Bench (12)
25 Antonio Rosati
18 Samir Ujkani
27 Emin Ghazoini
17 Wilfried Stephane Singo
34 Ola Aina
4 Lyanco
30 Koffi Djidji
15 Cristian Ansaldi
7 Saša Lukić
80 Michel Ndary Adopo
19 Jean Freddi Greco
22 Vincenzo Millico

Coach: M. Longo

Udinese

3-5-2
1 Juan Musso G
87 Sebastien De Maio D
17 Bram Nuytinck D
3 Samir D
19 Jens Stryger Larsen M
10 Rodrigo De Paul M
38 Rolando Mandragora M
6 Seko Fofana M
12 Ken Sema M
7 Stefano Okaka F
30 Ilija Nestorovski F
Bench (12)
88 Nicolas
27 Samuele Perisan
77 Marvin Zeegelaar
18 Hidde ter Avest
5 William Troost-Ekong
50 Rodrigo Becão
63 Francesco Mazzolo
11 Walace
8 Mato Jajalo
91 Łukasz Teodorczyk
15 Kevin Lasagna
64 Martin Palumbo

Coach: L. Gotti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,50
U
3,10
B
3,09
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,26
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Maresca · 123 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.