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Serie A
Referee: R Abisso
Udinese
T T U S T
1–0
Full-time
Torino
T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Udinese Torino
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
1,3
2,8
Scored
0,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,2
This season — Serie A · 7/7 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
14%
71%
Both score Ø 43%
14%
71%
Average goals
1,3
2,9
Scored
0,4
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%
10 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 5
8 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 20
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Udinese 14. · Torino 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 8 7 1 0 +8 22
2 Inter 8 7 0 1 +11 21
3 Atalanta 8 5 2 1 +8 17
4 Napoli 8 5 1 2 +7 16
5 Lazio 8 3 3 2 +7 12
6 Roma 7 3 3 1 +2 12
7 Cagliari 7 3 2 2 +3 11
8 Fiorentina 7 3 2 2 +2 11
9 Torino 7 3 1 3 +0 10
10 Bologna 8 2 3 3 -1 9
11 Verona 8 2 3 3 -1 9
12 Parma 7 3 0 4 -2 9
13 Milan 7 3 0 4 -3 9
14 Udinese 7 2 1 4 -3 7
15 Sassuolo 7 2 0 5 -2 6
16 Brescia 6 2 0 4 -2 6
17 Spal 7 2 0 5 -7 6
18 Lecce 7 2 0 5 -8 6
19 Genoa 7 1 2 4 -7 5
20 Sampdoria 7 1 0 6 -12 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Udinese Torino
26′
🟨 Saša Lukić
Mato Jajalo 🟨
40′
1–0 Stefano Okaka
Rolando Mandragora
42′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Simone Zaza
↦ Saša Lukić
55′
🟨 Diego Laxalt
57′
🟨 Armando Izzo
60′
🔁 Iago Falque
↦ Simone Verdi
Rodrigo Becão 🔁
↦ Hidde ter Avest
63′
Walace 🔁
↦ Mato Jajalo
73′
Rodrigo Becão 🟨
74′
Stefano Okaka 🟨
80′
84′
🔁 Vincenzo Millico
↦ Diego Laxalt
Ilija Nestorovski 🔁
↦ Kevin Lasagna
85′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Udinese

3-5-2
1 Juan Musso G
4 Nicholas Opoku D
5 William Troost-Ekong D
3 Samir D
18 Hidde ter Avest M
38 Rolando Mandragora M
8 Mato Jajalo M
10 Rodrigo De Paul M
12 Ken Sema M
15 Kevin Lasagna F
7 Stefano Okaka F
Bench (12)
88 Nicolas
27 Samuele Perisan
50 Rodrigo Becão
2 Francisco Sierralta
87 Sebastien De Maio
17 Bram Nuytinck
6 Seko Fofana
11 Walace
72 Antonín Barák
30 Ilija Nestorovski
23 Ignacio Pussetto
91 Łukasz Teodorczyk

Coach: I. Tudor

Torino

3-4-2-1
39 Salvatore Sirigu G
5 Armando Izzo D
33 Nicolas N'Koulou D
4 Lyanco D
15 Cristian Ansaldi M
8 Daniele Baselli M
88 Tomás Rincón M
93 Diego Laxalt M
24 Simone Verdi F
7 Saša Lukić F
9 Andrea Belotti F
Bench (11)
18 Samir Ujkani
25 Antonio Rosati
14 Kevin Bonifazi
34 Ola Aina
30 Koffi Djidji
29 Lorenzo De Silvestri
36 Gleison Bremer
23 Soualiho Meïté
22 Vincenzo Millico
10 Iago Falque
11 Simone Zaza

Coach: W. Mazzarri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,83
U
3,16
B
2,63
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,17
U2,5 ✓
1,69
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Abisso · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.