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Serie A
Referee: G Ayroldi
Cagliari
U T U U T
1–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
1,0
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,7
Scored
0,8
2,8
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,0
This season — Serie A · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 35%
30%
39%
Points per game
1,2
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
52%
82%
Both score Ø 67%
61%
73%
Average goals
2,9
3,6
Scored
1,5
1,9
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

22% Possession 78%
2 Shots 5
1 Shots on target 2
0 Blocked shots 6
1 Goalkeeper saves 0
0 Corners 9
2 Offside 3
14 Free kicks against 15
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cagliari 11. · Sassuolo 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 33 24 5 4 +35 77
2 Atalanta 34 21 8 5 +50 71
3 Inter 33 21 8 4 +38 71
4 Lazio 33 21 6 6 +33 69
5 Roma 33 17 6 10 +17 57
6 Napoli 33 15 8 10 +9 53
7 Milan 33 15 8 10 +6 53
8 Sassuolo 33 13 8 12 +5 47
9 Verona 34 11 12 11 +0 45
10 Bologna 33 11 10 12 -5 43
11 Cagliari 33 10 11 12 -1 41
12 Parma 33 11 7 15 -2 40
13 Fiorentina 33 9 12 12 -4 39
14 Sampdoria 33 11 5 17 -12 38
15 Torino 33 11 4 18 -19 37
16 Udinese 33 9 9 15 -15 36
17 Genoa 33 7 9 17 -23 30
18 Lecce 33 7 8 18 -33 29
19 Brescia 33 5 6 22 -40 21
20 Spal 33 5 4 24 -39 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Sassuolo
12′
F. Caputo 0–1
A. Carboni 🟨
22′
P. Farago 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–1
V. Birsa 🔁
↦ R. Ladinetti
46′
G. Pereiro 🔁
↦ G. Simeone
46′
A. Carboni 🟨
48′
A. Carboni 🟥
48′
1–1 Joao Pedro
M. Rog
63′
71′
🔁 H. Traore
↦ G. Raspadori
71′
🔁 L. Haraslin
↦ A. Ghion
72′
🔁 M. Muldur
↦ G. Magnani
72′
🟨 Marlon
M. Rog 🟨
83′
86′
🟨 G. Ferrari
M. Rog 🔁
↦ R. Klavan
89′
90′
🔁 F. Djuricic
↦ G. Manzari
90′
🔁 Rogerio
↦ G. Kyriakopoulos
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cagliari

3-5-2
28 Alessio Cragno G
19 Fabio Pisacane D
23 Luca Ceppitelli D
36 Andrea Carboni D
24 Paolo Faragò M
18 Nahitan Nández M
14 Valter Birsa M
6 Marko Rog M
3 Federico Mattiello M
20 Gastón Pereiro F
10 João Pedro F
Bench (12)
34 Giuseppe Ciocci
1 Rafael
40 Sebastian Walukiewicz
15 Ragnar Klavan
38 Fabio Porru
22 Charalampos Lykogiannis
35 Riccardo Ladinetti
27 Alessandro Lombardi
32 Isaias Del Pupo
9 Alberto Paloschi
26 Daniele Ragatzu
99 Giovanni Simeone

Coach: W. Zenga

Sassuolo

4-3-3
56 Gianluca Pegolo G
17 Mert Müldür D
2 Marlon D
31 Gianmarco Ferrari D
6 Rogério D
10 Filip Đuričić M
73 Manuel Locatelli M
23 Hamed Junior Traorè M
27 Lukáš Haraslín F
9 Francesco Caputo F
7 Jérémie Boga F
Bench (11)
64 Alessandro Russo
47 Andrea Consigli
35 Stefano Piccinini
77 Giorgos Kyriakopoulos
13 Federico Peluso
32 Giangiacomo Magnani
21 Vlad Chiricheş
57 Alessandro Mercati
44 Andrea Ghion
53 Giacomo Manzari
18 Giacomo Raspadori

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,17
U ✓
3,75
B
2,13
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,51
U2,5 ✓
2,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.