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Serie A
Referee: Claudio Gavillucci
Cagliari
S T T S S
0–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,3
4,3
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
2,0
2,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,7
This season — Serie A · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 2
2 Offside 3
21 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cagliari 10. · Sassuolo 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Inter 5 4 1 0 +9 13
2 Napoli 4 4 0 0 +13 12
3 Juventus 4 4 0 0 +10 12
4 Lazio 4 3 1 0 +5 10
5 Roma 4 3 0 1 +6 9
6 Milan 4 3 0 1 +2 9
7 Torino 4 2 2 0 +4 8
8 Sampdoria 3 2 1 0 +2 7
9 Fiorentina 4 2 0 2 +2 6
10 Cagliari 4 2 0 2 -1 6
11 Bologna 5 1 2 2 -3 5
12 Atalanta 4 1 1 2 -2 4
13 Chievo 4 1 1 2 -3 4
14 Spal 4 1 1 2 -3 4
15 Udinese 4 1 0 3 -2 3
16 Genoa 4 0 1 3 -4 1
17 Sassuolo 4 0 1 3 -6 1
18 Crotone 4 0 1 3 -6 1
19 Verona 4 0 1 3 -10 1
20 Benevento 5 0 0 5 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Sassuolo
Nicolò Barella 🟨
17′
Luca Ceppitelli 🟨
29′
Half-time 0–0
49′
🔁 S. Sensi
↦ M. Politano
N. Giannetti 🔁
↦ L. Pavoletti
52′
59′
A. Matri 0–1
P. Faragò 🔁
↦ S. Padoin
62′
71′
🟨 Francesco Magnanelli
76′
🔁 A. Ragusa
↦ A. Matri
M. Sau 🔁
↦ N. Barella
78′
78′
🔁 D. Biondini
↦ A. Duncan
82′
🟨 Paolo Cannavaro
84′
🟨 Pol Lirola
Niccolò Giannetti 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Cagliari

4-3-1-2
28 A. Cragno G
23 L. Ceppitelli D
19 F. Pisacane D
24 M. Capuano D
8 L. Cigarini M
20 S. Padoin M
21 A. Ioniţă M
10 João Pedro M
18 N. Barella M
30 L. Pavoletti F
17 Diego Farias F
Bench (11)
9 N. Giannetti
16 P. Faragò
25 M. Sau
3 M. Andreolli
4 D. Dessena
7 A. Cossu
12 S. Miangue
13 F. Romagna
26 L. Crosta
27 A. Deiola
29 R. Daga

Coach: M. Rastelli

Sassuolo

3-1-4-2
47 A. Consigli G
28 P. Cannavaro D
15 F. Acerbi D
55 T. Letschert D
21 Pol Lirola D
98 C. Adjapong M
7 S. Missiroli M
4 F. Magnanelli M
32 A. Duncan M
10 A. Matri F
16 M. Politano F
Bench (12)
12 S. Sensi
90 A. Ragusa
8 D. Biondini
6 L. Mazzitelli
11 D. Falcinelli
13 F. Peluso
14 G. Scamacca
23 M. Gazzola
24 E. Goldaniga
26 Rogério
29 F. Cassata
77 G. Pegolo

Coach: C. Bucchi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Claudio Gavillucci · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.