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Serie A
Referee: Luca J Pairetto
Cagliari
T T S S T
2–2
Full-time
Sassuolo
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,2
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
17%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
This season — Serie A · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 0%
0%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
2,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
15 Shots 13
6 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 16
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Cagliari 15. · Sassuolo 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 2 2 0 0 +3 6
2 Napoli 2 2 0 0 +2 6
3 Spal 2 2 0 0 +2 6
4 Atalanta 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Empoli 1 1 0 0 +2 3
6 Roma 1 1 0 0 +1 3
7 Sassuolo 1 1 0 0 +1 3
8 Udinese 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Parma 2 0 1 1 -1 1
10 Milan 1 0 0 1 -1 0
11 Chievo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
12 Torino 1 0 0 1 -1 0
13 Inter 1 0 0 1 -1 0
14 Bologna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Cagliari 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Lazio 2 0 0 2 -3 0
17 Frosinone 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Sassuolo
1–0 L. Pavoletti
S. Padoin
10′
33′
🟨 Manuel Locatelli
Nicolò Barella 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–1
53′
D. Berardi 1–1
S. Sensi
57′
🔁 Rogério
↦ S. Sensi
Luca Cigarini 🟨
61′
62′
🟨 Marlon
Artur Ioniță 🟨
68′
69′
🔁 J. Boga
↦ F. Di Francesco
70′
🟨 Kevin-Prince Boateng
F. Bradarić 🔁
↦ L. Cigarini
71′
Diego Farias 🔁
↦ M. Sau
71′
2–1 L. Pavoletti
F. Bradarić
73′
79′
🔁 K. Babacar
↦ Pol Lirola
P. Faragò 🔁
↦ A. Ioniţă
84′
Filippo Romagna 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Marlon
90′
🟥 Marlon
99′
K. Boateng 2–2
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Cagliari

4-3-1-2
28 A. Cragno G
33 D. Srna D
15 R. Klavan D
56 F. Romagna D
4 D. Dessena M
8 L. Cigarini M
20 S. Padoin M
21 A. Ioniţă M
18 N. Barella M
25 M. Sau F
30 L. Pavoletti F
Bench (11)
6 F. Bradarić
17 Diego Farias
24 P. Faragò
1 Rafael
2 M. Pajač
3 M. Andreolli
9 A. Cerri
19 F. Pisacane
22 C. Lykogiannis
16 S. Aresti
12 R. Daga

Coach: R. Maran

Sassuolo

4-3-3
47 A. Consigli G
31 G. Ferrari D
23 G. Magnani D
2 Marlon D
21 Pol Lirola D
27 K. Boateng M
32 A. Duncan M
12 S. Sensi M
73 M. Locatelli M
25 D. Berardi F
34 F. Di Francesco F
Bench (12)
6 Rogério
20 J. Boga
30 K. Babacar
4 F. Magnanelli
5 M. Lemos
10 A. Matri
17 L. Sernicola
39 C. Dell'Orco
68 M. Bourabia
79 G. Pegolo
98 C. Adjapong
99 E. Brignola

Coach: R. De Zerbi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luca J Pairetto · 48 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.