Serie A
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Empoli
Sampdoria
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Napoli
|
18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | +30 | 47 |
| 2 |
Milan
|
18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | +15 | 38 |
| 3 |
Juventus
|
18 | 11 | 4 | 3 | +15 | 37 |
| 4 |
Inter
|
18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | +14 | 37 |
| 5 |
Lazio
|
18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | +16 | 34 |
| 6 |
Atalanta
|
18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | +14 | 34 |
| 7 |
Roma
|
18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | +7 | 34 |
| 8 |
Udinese
|
18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | +5 | 25 |
| 9 |
Torino
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 |
Fiorentina
|
18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | -3 | 23 |
| 11 |
Bologna
|
18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | -6 | 22 |
| 12 |
Monza
|
18 | 6 | 3 | 9 | -5 | 21 |
| 13 |
Lecce
|
18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | -2 | 20 |
| 14 |
Empoli
|
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -7 | 19 |
| 15 |
Spezia
|
18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -11 | 18 |
| 16 |
Salernitana
|
18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | -12 | 18 |
| 17 |
Sassuolo
|
18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | -11 | 16 |
| 18 |
Verona
|
18 | 2 | 3 | 13 | -16 | 9 |
| 19 |
Sampdoria
|
17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | -22 | 9 |
| 20 |
Cremonese
|
18 | 0 | 7 | 11 | -19 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
G. Vicario
G
A. Ismajli
D
S. Luperto
D
R. Marin
M
F. Bandinelli
M
T. Baldanzi
M
M. Satriano
F
Coach: P. Zanetti
E. Audero
G
B. Nuytinck
D
M. Léris
M
T. Augello
M
S. Lammers
F
Coach: D. Stanković
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Lazio
Empoli
Udinese
Empoli
Empoli
Cremonese
Napoli
Empoli
Empoli
Sassuolo
A Santoro · 51 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.