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Serie A
Referee: A Santoro
Empoli
S T S U U
1–0
Full-time
Sampdoria
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
17%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,2
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,3
Conceded
1,2
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,3
This season — Serie A · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 18%
24%
12%
Points per game
1,1
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 35%
29%
41%
Both score Ø 41%
47%
35%
Average goals
2,2
2,2
Scored
0,9
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 4
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
15 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Empoli 14. · Sampdoria 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 18 15 2 1 +30 47
2 Milan 18 11 5 2 +15 38
3 Juventus 18 11 4 3 +15 37
4 Inter 18 12 1 5 +14 37
5 Lazio 18 10 4 4 +16 34
6 Atalanta 18 10 4 4 +14 34
7 Roma 18 10 4 4 +7 34
8 Udinese 18 6 7 5 +5 25
9 Torino 18 6 5 7 -2 23
10 Fiorentina 18 6 5 7 -3 23
11 Bologna 18 6 4 8 -6 22
12 Monza 18 6 3 9 -5 21
13 Lecce 18 4 8 6 -2 20
14 Empoli 17 4 7 6 -7 19
15 Spezia 18 4 6 8 -11 18
16 Salernitana 18 4 6 8 -12 18
17 Sassuolo 18 4 4 10 -11 16
18 Verona 18 2 3 13 -16 9
19 Sampdoria 17 2 3 12 -22 9
20 Cremonese 18 0 7 11 -19 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Empoli Sampdoria
6′
🟨 Mehdi Léris
29′
🟨 Ronaldo Vieira
31′
🟨 Manolo Gabbiadini
Fabiano Parisi 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 T. Ebuehi
R. Marin
55′
62′
🔁 H. Winks
↦ B. Amione
62′
🔁 A. Sabiri
↦ V. Verre
M. Pjaca 🔁
↦ T. Baldanzi
63′
N. Haas 🔁
↦ F. Bandinelli
63′
63′
🔁 A. Zanoli
↦ M. Léris
69′
🔁 F. Paoletti
↦ R. Vieira
Răzvan Marin 🟨
71′
N. Cambiaghi 🔁
↦ M. Satriano
77′
P. Stojanović 🔁
↦ T. Ebuehi
77′
Ardian Ismajli 🟨
85′
J. Fazzini 🔁
↦ J. Akpa Akpro
85′
Petar Stojanović 🟨
90′
95′
🟨 Abdelhamid Sabiri
Guglielmo Vicario 🟨
99′
100′
ℹ️ Manolo Gabbiadini
VAR: Goal cancelled
102′
🟨 Emil Audero
102′
🟨 Filip Đuričić
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Empoli

4-3-1-2
13 G. Vicario G
24 T. Ebuehi D
34 A. Ismajli D
33 S. Luperto D
65 F. Parisi D
11 J. Akpa Akpro M
18 R. Marin M
25 F. Bandinelli M
35 T. Baldanzi M
9 M. Satriano F
19 F. Caputo F
Bench (14)
14 M. Pjaca
32 N. Haas
28 N. Cambiaghi
30 P. Stojanović
21 J. Fazzini
4 S. Walukiewicz
10 N. Bajrami
6 K. De Winter
20 D. Degli Innocenti
1 S. Perisan
8 L. Henderson
17 E. Ekong
22 S. Ujkani
3 L. Cacace

Coach: P. Zanetti

Sampdoria

3-4-1-2
1 E. Audero G
17 B. Nuytinck D
2 B. Amione D
15 O. Colley D
37 M. Léris M
14 R. Vieira M
7 F. Đuričić M
3 T. Augello M
5 V. Verre F
10 S. Lammers F
23 M. Gabbiadini F
Bench (9)
20 H. Winks
11 A. Sabiri
59 A. Zanoli
36 F. Paoletti
22 M. Turk
28 Gerard Yepes
30 N. Ravaglia
34 D. Montevago
21 J. Murillo

Coach: D. Stanković

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,25
U
3,10
B
3,58
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,20
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Santoro · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.