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La Liga
Referee: Carlos del Cerro
Cadiz
U T T U S
1–1
Full-time
Elche
S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Elche
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
2,2
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 10%
19%
0%
Points per game
0,9
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
44%
63%
Both score Ø 44%
38%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,8
Scored
0,7
0,6
Conceded
1,7
2,1
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-1,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
16 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 5
5 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 19. · Elche 20.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 16 13 2 1 +29 41
2 Real Madrid 16 12 2 2 +20 38
3 Sociedad 17 11 2 4 +8 35
4 Ath Madrid 17 8 4 5 +8 28
5 Villarreal 17 8 4 5 +7 28
6 Betis 16 8 4 4 +6 28
7 Osasuna 17 8 3 6 +1 27
8 Ath Bilbao 17 7 5 5 +8 26
9 Vallecano 17 7 5 5 +4 26
10 Mallorca 17 6 4 7 -2 22
11 Girona 17 5 6 6 -1 21
12 Valencia 16 5 4 7 +5 19
13 Almeria 17 5 3 9 -8 18
14 Espanol 17 3 8 6 -5 17
15 Getafe 17 4 5 8 -8 17
16 Celta 17 4 5 8 -11 17
17 Valladolid 17 5 2 10 -12 17
18 Sevilla 17 3 6 8 -9 15
19 Cadiz 16 3 6 7 -16 15
20 Elche 16 0 4 12 -24 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Elche
1–0 B. Ocampo
7′
M. Mbaye 🔁
↦ Fali
33′
43′
🟨 Diego González
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Fidel
↦ Clerc
46′
🔁 L. Blanco
↦ Pere Milla
Iván Alejo 🔁
↦ B. Ocampo
61′
62′
🟨 Helibelton Palacios
Fede San Emeterio 🟨
72′
72′
🔁 E. Ponce
↦ Roger
Y. Diarra 🔁
↦ Fede San Emeterio
77′
S. Arzamendia 🔁
↦ Álex Fernández
77′
Álvaro Negredo 🔁
↦ A. Lozano
78′
81′
E. Ponce 1–1
L. Blanco
85′
🔁 L. Magallán
↦ Diego González
85′
🔁 Tete Morente
↦ José Ángel Carmona
Iván Alejo 🟨
92′
Youba Diarra 🟨
95′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-1-1
1 J. Ledesma G
20 Iza Carcelén D
23 Luis Hernández D
3 Fali D
22 A. Espino D
7 Rubén Sobrino M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
24 Fede San Emeterio M
14 B. Ocampo M
8 Álex Fernández F
9 A. Lozano F
Bench (10)
5 M. Mbaye
11 Iván Alejo
12 Y. Diarra
21 S. Arzamendia
18 Álvaro Negredo
19 Álvaro Giménez
30 Carlos García-Die
10 T. Bongonda
2 Raúl Parra
26 Victor Aznar

Coach: Sergio

Elche

3-4-3
13 Edgar Badia G
14 H. Palacios D
3 E. Roco D
4 Diego González D
40 José Ángel Carmona M
21 Omar Mascarell M
20 Gumbau M
23 Clerc M
10 Pere Milla F
9 L. Boyé F
18 Roger F
Bench (10)
16 Fidel
2 L. Blanco
19 E. Ponce
7 L. Magallán
11 Tete Morente
8 Raúl Guti
17 Josan
5 Gonzalo Verdú
1 A. Werner
28 Jesús López

Coach: Pablo Machín

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,94
U ✓
3,38
B
4,29
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,26
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Carlos del Cerro · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.