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Serie A
Referee: Daniele Doveri
Sampdoria
T S T T U
1–2
Full-time
Empoli
T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Empoli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
This season — Serie A · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 32%
40%
23%
Points per game
1,4
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
60%
69%
Both score Ø 57%
51%
63%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,4
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%
18 Shots 8
6 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 2
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sampdoria 9. · Empoli 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Juventus 35 28 5 2 +44 89
2 Napoli 35 22 7 6 +35 73
3 Atalanta 36 19 8 9 +29 65
4 Inter 35 18 9 8 +24 63
5 Milan 36 17 11 8 +16 62
6 Torino 36 15 15 6 +16 60
7 Roma 35 16 11 8 +15 59
8 Lazio 36 17 7 12 +12 58
9 Sampdoria 35 14 7 14 +8 49
10 Sassuolo 36 9 15 12 -5 42
11 Spal 35 11 9 15 -9 42
12 Fiorentina 36 8 16 12 +3 40
13 Cagliari 36 10 10 16 -17 40
14 Parma 35 9 11 15 -17 38
15 Bologna 35 9 10 16 -12 37
16 Genoa 36 8 12 16 -18 36
17 Udinese 35 8 10 17 -18 34
18 Empoli 35 8 8 19 -22 32
19 Frosinone 35 5 9 21 -36 24
20 Chievo 35 2 12 21 -48 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sampdoria Empoli
16′
🟨 Giovanni Di Lorenzo
Albin Ekdal 🟨
30′
Half-time 0–1
56′
Diego Farias 0–1
H. Traorè
M. Sau 🔁
↦ A. Ekdal
72′
R. Vieira Nan 🔁
↦ G. Caprari
72′
Lorenzo Tonelli 🟨
74′
75′
G. Di Lorenzo 0–2
79′
🔁 A. Acquah
↦ Diego Farias
G. Ramírez 🔁
↦ M. Gabbiadini
80′
87′
🔁 L. Capezzi
↦ H. Traorè
92′
🔁 M. Brighi
↦ I. Bennacer
1–2 F. Quagliarella
92′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sampdoria

4-3-1-2
1 E. Audero G
7 J. Sala D
26 L. Tonelli D
29 N. Murru D
25 A. Ferrari D
6 A. Ekdal M
10 D. Praet M
14 J. Jankto M
27 F. Quagliarella F
23 M. Gabbiadini F
17 G. Caprari M
Bench (10)
20 M. Sau
4 R. Vieira Nan
11 G. Ramírez
92 G. Defrel
16 K. Linetty
33 Rafael
22 Junior Tavares
24 B. Bereszyński
5 R. Saponara
72 V. Belec

Coach: M. Giampaolo

Empoli

3-1-4-2
69 B. Drągowski G
26 M. Silvestre D
5 F. Veseli D
2 G. Di Lorenzo M
39 C. Dell'Orco D
6 M. Pajač M
33 R. Krunić M
10 I. Bennacer M
8 H. Traorè M
11 F. Caputo F
17 Diego Farias F
Bench (10)
18 A. Acquah
28 L. Capezzi
4 M. Brighi
32 J. Rasmussen
48 S. Uçan
37 D. Oberlin
1 I. Provedel
43 D. Nikolaou
23 M. Pasqual
21 F. Perucchini

Coach: A. Andreazzoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Daniele Doveri · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.