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Ligue 1

Referee: M Lesage

Montpellier

S U T T U

1–0

Full-time

Lyon

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Montpellier Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

1,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

1,5

4,2

Scored

0,7

3,5

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+2,8

This season — Ligue 1 · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

1,5

4,5

Scored

0,5

4,5

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+4,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

19 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 2

14 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Montpellier 16. · Lyon 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Lyon	2	2	0	0	+9	6
3	Paris SG	3	2	0	1	+6	6
4	Nice	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Angers	3	2	0	1	-1	6
6	Brest	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	St Etienne	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Reims	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Bordeaux	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Metz	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Nantes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Toulouse	3	1	1	1	-3	4
13	Lille	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Amiens	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Strasbourg	3	0	2	1	-2	2
16	Montpellier	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Marseille	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Nimes	3	0	1	2	-4	1
19	Monaco	3	0	1	2	-6	1
20	Dijon	3	0	0	3	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Angers	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Brest	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Metz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Rennes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Lille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Amiens	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Bordeaux	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	St Etienne	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Reims	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Nantes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Monaco	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	Nimes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Marseille	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Dijon	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rennes	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Lyon	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Reims	2	1	0	1	+1	3
4	St Etienne	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Nice	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Bordeaux	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Nantes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Montpellier	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Brest	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Strasbourg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Marseille	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Nimes	2	0	1	1	-3	1
13	Metz	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Toulouse	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Paris SG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Lille	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Monaco	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Angers	1	0	0	1	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.