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Ligue 1

Referee: R Buquet

Lyon

S S T S S

0–1

Full-time

Lille

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,0

This season — Ligue 1 · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 40%

40%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

53%

47%

Both score Ø 47%

47%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%

11 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lyon 7. · Lille 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	11	0	3	+22	33
2	Marseille	16	9	4	3	+4	31
3	Bordeaux	16	7	5	4	+10	26
4	Angers	16	7	3	6	-2	24
5	Montpellier	15	6	5	4	+6	23
6	Nantes	15	7	2	6	+0	23
7	Lyon	15	6	4	5	+9	22
8	Lille	15	6	4	5	+4	22
9	St Etienne	15	6	4	5	-3	22
10	Rennes	14	6	3	5	+3	21
11	Reims	15	5	6	4	+3	21
12	Brest	16	5	6	5	+2	21
13	Nice	15	6	2	7	-2	20
14	Monaco	14	5	3	6	-3	18
15	Strasbourg	16	5	3	8	-5	18
16	Amiens	15	4	4	7	-9	16
17	Metz	15	3	6	6	-7	15
18	Dijon	15	4	3	8	-7	15
19	Nimes	15	2	6	7	-12	12
20	Toulouse	15	3	3	9	-13	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	8	6	2	0	+11	20
2	Angers	9	6	1	2	+9	19
3	Montpellier	8	6	1	1	+9	19
4	Paris SG	7	6	0	1	+16	18
5	Marseille	8	5	2	1	+4	17
6	Brest	9	4	4	1	+9	16
7	Nantes	8	5	1	2	+3	16
8	Bordeaux	8	4	2	2	+9	14
9	Strasbourg	8	4	2	2	+3	14
10	Nice	8	4	2	2	+2	14
11	Monaco	7	4	1	2	+3	13
12	Rennes	7	4	1	2	+3	13
13	Lyon	7	3	2	2	+7	11
14	Reims	8	2	5	1	+2	11
15	Dijon	7	3	2	2	+0	11
16	St Etienne	7	2	4	1	+1	10
17	Amiens	7	3	1	3	-3	10
18	Metz	7	2	3	2	+1	9
19	Toulouse	7	3	0	4	-3	9
20	Nimes	6	2	2	2	+2	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	5	0	2	+6	15
2	Marseille	8	4	2	2	+0	14
3	Bordeaux	8	3	3	2	+1	12
4	St Etienne	8	4	0	4	-4	12
5	Lyon	8	3	2	3	+2	11
6	Reims	7	3	1	3	+1	10
7	Rennes	7	2	2	3	+0	8
8	Nantes	7	2	1	4	-3	7
9	Nice	7	2	0	5	-4	6
10	Amiens	8	1	3	4	-6	6
11	Metz	8	1	3	4	-8	6
12	Monaco	7	1	2	4	-6	5
13	Brest	7	1	2	4	-7	5
14	Angers	7	1	2	4	-11	5
15	Montpellier	7	0	4	3	-3	4
16	Dijon	8	1	1	6	-7	4
17	Strasbourg	8	1	1	6	-8	4
18	Nimes	9	0	4	5	-14	4
19	Toulouse	8	0	3	5	-10	3
20	Lille	7	0	2	5	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.