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Ligue 1

Referee: A Gautier

Marseille

U T S T S

2–1

Full-time

Lyon

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Lyon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 38%

42%

33%

Points per game

1,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

42%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,2

1,6

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

41% Possession 59%

10 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 9. · Lyon 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	10	0	3	+20	30
2	Angers	13	6	3	4	+1	21
3	St Etienne	13	6	3	4	-2	21
4	Lille	13	5	4	4	+5	19
5	Montpellier	13	5	4	4	+4	19
6	Bordeaux	13	5	4	4	+3	19
7	Reims	13	5	4	4	+3	19
8	Nantes	13	6	1	6	-1	19
9	Marseille	12	5	4	3	-2	19
10	Rennes	12	5	3	4	+3	18
11	Monaco	13	5	3	5	-2	18
12	Brest	13	4	5	4	-2	17
13	Nice	13	5	2	6	-3	17
14	Lyon	12	4	4	4	+8	16
15	Amiens	13	4	4	5	-3	16
16	Strasbourg	13	4	3	6	-3	15
17	Metz	13	3	4	6	-7	13
18	Dijon	13	3	3	7	-7	12
19	Toulouse	13	3	3	7	-10	12
20	Nimes	12	2	5	5	-5	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	7	5	2	0	+10	17
2	Angers	7	5	1	1	+10	16
3	Montpellier	7	5	1	1	+7	16
4	Paris SG	6	5	0	1	+14	15
5	Strasbourg	7	4	2	1	+4	14
6	Monaco	7	4	1	2	+3	13
7	Nantes	7	4	1	2	+2	13
8	Brest	7	3	3	1	+4	12
9	Marseille	6	3	2	1	+2	11
10	Nice	7	3	2	2	+0	11
11	Rennes	6	3	1	2	+2	10
12	Reims	7	2	4	1	+2	10
13	Amiens	6	3	1	2	+1	10
14	St Etienne	6	2	3	1	+1	9
15	Toulouse	6	3	0	3	-1	9
16	Lyon	6	2	2	2	+6	8
17	Bordeaux	6	2	2	2	+2	8
18	Metz	6	2	2	2	+1	8
19	Dijon	6	2	2	2	-1	8
20	Nimes	5	2	1	2	+2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	7	5	0	2	+6	15
2	St Etienne	7	4	0	3	-3	12
3	Bordeaux	7	3	2	2	+1	11
4	Reims	6	3	0	3	+1	9
5	Lyon	6	2	2	2	+2	8
6	Rennes	6	2	2	2	+1	8
7	Marseille	6	2	2	2	-4	8
8	Nice	6	2	0	4	-3	6
9	Nantes	6	2	0	4	-3	6
10	Amiens	7	1	3	3	-4	6
11	Monaco	6	1	2	3	-5	5
12	Brest	6	1	2	3	-6	5
13	Metz	7	1	2	4	-8	5
14	Angers	6	1	2	3	-9	5
15	Dijon	7	1	1	5	-6	4
16	Nimes	7	0	4	3	-7	4
17	Montpellier	6	0	3	3	-3	3
18	Toulouse	7	0	3	4	-9	3
19	Lille	6	0	2	4	-5	2
20	Strasbourg	6	0	1	5	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.