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Ligue 1

Referee: H Ben El Hadj

Marseille

U U T S T

2–1

Full-time

Lille

S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Marseille Lille

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 41%

36%

45%

Points per game

1,5

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

36%

55%

Both score Ø 50%

45%

55%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

11 Shots 6

1 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

4 Corners 4

3 Offside 4

13 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Marseille 7. · Lille 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	12	9	0	3	+19	27
2	Nantes	11	6	1	4	+2	19
3	Lille	11	5	3	3	+6	18
4	Reims	11	5	3	3	+5	18
5	Angers	11	5	2	4	+0	17
6	Brest	11	4	5	2	+0	17
7	Marseille	11	4	4	3	-3	16
8	Bordeaux	11	4	3	4	+1	15
9	Rennes	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Montpellier	11	4	3	4	+1	15
11	Monaco	11	4	3	4	-2	15
12	St Etienne	11	4	3	4	-4	15
13	Lyon	11	3	4	4	+7	13
14	Amiens	11	3	4	4	-2	13
15	Nice	11	4	1	6	-5	13
16	Strasbourg	11	3	3	5	-5	12
17	Toulouse	11	3	3	5	-6	12
18	Dijon	12	3	3	6	-6	12
19	Nimes	11	2	5	4	-2	11
20	Metz	11	3	2	6	-7	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	6	5	1	0	+10	16
2	Paris SG	6	5	0	1	+14	15
3	Angers	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	Montpellier	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	Nantes	6	4	1	1	+3	13
6	Brest	6	3	3	0	+5	12
7	Strasbourg	6	3	2	1	+1	11
8	Monaco	6	3	1	2	+2	10
9	Reims	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Toulouse	5	3	0	2	+0	9
11	Lyon	6	2	2	2	+6	8
12	Marseille	5	2	2	1	+1	8
13	Dijon	6	2	2	2	-1	8
14	Nimes	5	2	1	2	+2	7
15	Metz	5	2	1	2	+1	7
16	Amiens	5	2	1	2	+0	7
17	Rennes	5	2	1	2	+0	7
18	Nice	5	2	1	2	-2	7
19	St Etienne	5	1	3	1	+0	6
20	Bordeaux	5	1	2	2	+0	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	6	4	0	2	+5	12
2	Bordeaux	6	3	1	2	+1	10
3	Reims	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	St Etienne	6	3	0	3	-4	9
5	Rennes	6	2	2	2	+1	8
6	Marseille	6	2	2	2	-4	8
7	Nantes	5	2	0	3	-1	6
8	Amiens	6	1	3	2	-2	6
9	Nice	6	2	0	4	-3	6
10	Lyon	5	1	2	2	+1	5
11	Monaco	5	1	2	2	-4	5
12	Brest	5	1	2	2	-5	5
13	Nimes	6	0	4	2	-4	4
14	Dijon	6	1	1	4	-5	4
15	Metz	6	1	1	4	-8	4
16	Angers	5	1	1	3	-9	4
17	Toulouse	6	0	3	3	-6	3
18	Montpellier	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Lille	5	0	2	3	-4	2
20	Strasbourg	5	0	1	4	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.