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Premier League
Referee: C Pawson
Newcastle
T T S S S
0–2
Full-time
West Ham
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle West Ham
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
3,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 36%
45%
27%
Points per game
1,6
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
45%
64%
Both score Ø 64%
64%
64%
Average goals
2,2
2,9
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,64 xG 0,81
53% Possession 47%
18 Shots 15
2 Shots on target 6
6 Blocked shots 6
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 8
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Newcastle 9. · West Ham 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Liverpool 12 10 1 1 +16 +13.1 31
2 Man City 12 7 2 3 +5 +8.6 23
3 Chelsea 12 6 4 2 +9 +6.4 22
4 Arsenal 12 6 4 2 +9 +6.0 22
5 Brighton 12 6 4 2 +5 -2.6 22
6 Tottenham 12 6 1 5 +14 +8.9 19
7 Nott'm Forest 12 5 4 3 +2 +2.4 19
8 Aston Villa 12 5 4 3 +0 +5.1 19
9 Newcastle 11 5 3 3 +2 +1.7 18
10 Fulham 12 5 3 4 +0 +4.1 18
11 Brentford 12 5 2 5 +0 -1.7 17
12 Man United 12 4 4 4 +0 -0.4 16
13 Bournemouth 12 4 3 5 -1 +4.8 15
14 West Ham 11 3 3 5 -6 -3.0 12
15 Everton 12 2 5 5 -7 -3.7 11
16 Leicester 12 2 4 6 -8 -11.0 10
17 Wolves 12 2 3 7 -8 -8.1 9
18 Ipswich 12 1 6 5 -10 -13.6 9
19 Crystal Palace 12 1 5 6 -7 -4.3 8
20 Southampton 12 1 1 10 -15 -12.8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Newcastle West Ham
10′
T. Souček 0–1
Emerson
Half-time 0–1
H. Barnes 🔁
↦ J. Willock
46′
53′
A. Wan-Bissaka 0–2
J. Bowen
S. Tonali 🔁
↦ S. Longstaff
57′
57′
🔁 K. Mavropanos
↦ J. Todibo
Lloyd Kelly 🟨
61′
C. Wilson 🔁
↦ A. Gordon
68′
J. Murphy 🔁
↦ Joelinton
69′
75′
🔁 D. Ings
↦ M. Antonio
75′
🔁 V. Coufal
↦ Emerson
K. Trippier 🔁
↦ Bruno Guimarães
84′
84′
🔁 G. Rodríguez
↦ Carlos Soler
84′
🔁 A. Irving
↦ C. Summerville
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Newcastle

4-3-3
22 N. Pope G
21 T. Livramento D
5 F. Schär D
25 L. Kelly D
20 L. Hall D
36 S. Longstaff M
39 Bruno Guimarães M
28 J. Willock M
7 Joelinton F
14 A. Isak F
10 A. Gordon F
Bench (9)
11 H. Barnes
8 S. Tonali
9 C. Wilson
23 J. Murphy
2 K. Trippier
1 M. Dúbravka
18 W. Osula
24 M. Almirón
13 M. Targett

Coach: E. Howe

West Ham

4-2-3-1
1 Ł. Fabiański G
29 A. Wan-Bissaka D
25 J. Todibo D
26 M. Kilman D
33 Emerson D
28 T. Souček M
10 Lucas Paquetá M
20 J. Bowen M
4 Carlos Soler M
7 C. Summerville M
9 M. Antonio F
Bench (9)
15 K. Mavropanos
18 D. Ings
5 V. Coufal
24 G. Rodríguez
39 A. Irving
57 O. Scarles
23 A. Areola
17 Luis Guilherme
3 A. Cresswell

Coach: Lopetegui

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,50
U
4,57
B ✓
6,21
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,55
U2,5 ✓
2,45
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

C Pawson · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.