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Ligue 1
Referee: B Millot
Lyon
T U S S T
4–1
Full-time
Dijon
U U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lyon Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,2
3,3
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

64% Possession 36%
27 Shots 6
12 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 9
13 Corners 2
0 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 7
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Lyon Dijon
14′
A. Scheidler 0–1
38′
🟨 Ahmad Toure Ngouyamsa
1–1 M. Depay
39′
45′
🟨 Didier N'Dong
1–2 W. Lautoa
own goal
45′
Half-time 2–2
2–2 M. Depay
46′
55′
🔁 F. Sammaritano
↦ M. Chouiar
55′
🔁 J. Panzo
↦ A. Ngouyamsa
65′
🟨 Frédéric Sammaritano
J. Reine-Adélaïde 🔁
↦ K. Toko Ekambi
66′
3–2 M. Depay
66′
Memphis Depay 🟨
67′
M. Cherki 🔁
↦ M. Depay
70′
K. Tete 🔁
↦ L. Dubois
70′
71′
🔁 M. Dobre
↦ R. Amalfitano
71′
🔁 A. Chalá
↦ J. Marié
M. Bard 🔁
↦ M. Cornet
79′
J. Andersen 🔁
↦ Fernando Marçal
79′
79′
🔁 R. Philippe
↦ A. Scheidler
Moussa Dembélé 🟨
80′
Marcelo 🟨
90′
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Lyon

3-4-1-2
1 Anthony Lopes G
6 Marcelo D
20 Fernando Marçal D
14 L. Dubois M
5 J. Denayer D
39 Bruno Guimarães M
25 M. Caqueret M
11 M. Depay F
7 K. Toko Ekambi F
27 M. Cornet M
9 M. Dembélé F
Bench (9)
17 J. Reine-Adélaïde
18 M. Cherki
23 K. Tete
31 M. Bard
3 J. Andersen
10 B. Traoré
12 Thiago Mendes
22 Jean Lucas
30 C. Tătărușanu

Coach: R. Garcia

Dijon

4-2-3-1
16 A. Gomis G
25 B. Écuélé Manga D
24 W. Lautoa D
26 F. Chafik D
19 A. Ngouyamsa D
20 R. Amalfitano M
14 J. Marié M
22 D. Ndong M
8 E. Ebimbe M
27 A. Scheidler F
21 M. Chouiar M
Bench (8)
7 F. Sammaritano
4 J. Panzo
29 M. Dobre
13 A. Chalá
23 R. Philippe
1 R. Rúnarsson
32 B. Racovitan
31 A. Arli

Coach: S. Jobard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,30
U
5,41
B
10,01
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,24
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Millot · 146 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.