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Ligue 1

Referee: J Brisard

Dijon

T U U U T

2–1

Full-time

Toulouse

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dijon Toulouse

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,5

1,5

Scored

1,5

0,0

Conceded

2,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 17%

22%

11%

Points per game

1,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 43%

44%

41%

Average goals

2,3

2,9

Scored

0,9

0,8

Conceded

1,3

2,1

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

56% Possession 44%

15 Shots 6

3 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 1

2 Offside 1

14 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dijon 17. · Toulouse 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	27	22	2	3	+51	68
2	Marseille	28	16	8	4	+12	56
3	Rennes	27	14	5	8	+9	47
4	Lille	27	14	4	9	+7	46
5	Lyon	27	11	7	9	+16	40
6	Montpellier	27	11	7	9	+6	40
7	Monaco	27	11	7	9	+1	40
8	Reims	27	9	11	7	+4	38
9	Nice	27	10	8	9	+2	38
10	Strasbourg	27	11	5	11	+0	38
11	Nantes	27	11	4	12	-1	37
12	Bordeaux	27	9	9	9	+6	36
13	Angers	27	10	6	11	-7	36
14	Brest	27	8	10	9	-2	34
15	Metz	27	7	10	10	-9	31
16	St Etienne	27	8	5	14	-16	29
17	Dijon	27	6	9	12	-11	27
18	Nimes	27	7	6	14	-14	27
19	Amiens	28	4	11	13	-19	23
20	Toulouse	27	3	4	20	-35	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	14	12	1	1	+33	37
2	Montpellier	14	10	2	2	+16	32
3	Lille	14	10	2	2	+14	32
4	Marseille	14	8	4	2	+7	28
5	Monaco	14	8	2	4	+7	26
6	Rennes	13	8	2	3	+6	26
7	Nice	14	7	4	3	+7	25
8	Brest	14	6	6	2	+10	24
9	Strasbourg	13	7	3	3	+8	24
10	Angers	14	7	3	4	+5	24
11	Dijon	13	5	6	2	+4	21
12	Nimes	14	6	2	6	+2	20
13	Nantes	14	6	2	6	+0	20
14	Lyon	13	5	4	4	+10	19
15	Reims	13	4	7	2	+4	19
16	Bordeaux	13	4	5	4	+7	17
17	St Etienne	13	4	5	4	-3	17
18	Metz	13	4	4	5	+0	16
19	Amiens	14	3	5	6	-6	14
20	Toulouse	13	3	0	10	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	13	10	1	2	+18	31
2	Marseille	14	8	4	2	+5	28
3	Lyon	14	6	3	5	+6	21
4	Rennes	14	6	3	5	+3	21
5	Reims	14	5	4	5	+0	19
6	Bordeaux	14	5	4	5	-1	19
7	Nantes	13	5	2	6	-1	17
8	Metz	14	3	6	5	-9	15
9	Monaco	13	3	5	5	-6	14
10	Lille	13	4	2	7	-7	14
11	Strasbourg	14	4	2	8	-8	14
12	Nice	13	3	4	6	-5	13
13	Angers	13	3	3	7	-12	12
14	St Etienne	14	4	0	10	-13	12
15	Brest	13	2	4	7	-12	10
16	Amiens	14	1	6	7	-13	9
17	Montpellier	13	1	5	7	-10	8
18	Nimes	13	1	4	8	-16	7
19	Dijon	14	1	3	10	-15	6
20	Toulouse	14	0	4	10	-22	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.