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Ligue 1
Referee: M Lesage
Bordeaux
T S U U S
2–2
Full-time
Dijon
S T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Dijon
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,7
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,2
This season — Ligue 1 · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 32%
38%
25%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
42%
42%
Both score Ø 48%
54%
42%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
1,4
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

66% Possession 34%
11 Shots 6
2 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
13 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 8. · Dijon 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 25 20 2 3 +46 62
2 Marseille 24 14 7 3 +12 49
3 Rennes 24 12 5 7 +7 41
4 Lille 24 12 4 8 +4 40
5 Monaco 25 11 5 9 +1 38
6 Montpellier 25 10 7 8 +4 37
7 Strasbourg 24 11 3 10 +3 36
8 Bordeaux 24 9 7 8 +7 34
9 Lyon 24 9 6 9 +12 33
10 Reims 24 8 9 7 +3 33
11 Nice 24 9 6 9 +0 33
12 Nantes 24 10 3 11 -2 33
13 Brest 24 7 9 8 -2 30
14 Angers 24 8 6 10 -8 30
15 St Etienne 24 8 4 12 -13 28
16 Metz 24 6 9 9 -8 27
17 Dijon 24 6 7 11 -7 25
18 Nimes 24 6 6 12 -13 24
19 Amiens 25 4 9 12 -18 21
20 Toulouse 24 3 4 17 -28 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Dijon
10′
🟨 Didier N'Dong
16′
M. Chouiar 0–1
D. Ndong
1–1 Hwang Ui-jo
T. Bašić
35′
Loris Benito 🟨
38′
Half-time 1–1
64′
🔁 J. Marié
↦ Y. Benzia
2–1 J. Briand
R. Oudin
64′
72′
M. Chouiar 2–2
D. Ndong
J. Maja 🔁
↦ J. Briand
81′
81′
🔁 S. Mavididi
↦ Mama Baldé
81′
🔁 R. Amalfitano
↦ D. Ndong
Y. Adli 🔁
↦ Hwang Ui-jo
84′
Rubén Pardo 🔁
↦ T. Bašić
91′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Bordeaux

4-2-3-1
1 B. Costil G
6 L. Koscielny D
23 L. Benito D
3 Pablo D
20 Y. Sabaly D
5 Otávio M
26 T. Bašić M
7 J. Briand F
12 N. de Préville M
18 Hwang Ui-jo M
28 R. Oudin M
Bench (7)
9 J. Maja
19 Y. Adli
8 Rubén Pardo
29 M. Poundjé
16 G. Poussin
4 Mexer
33 M. Zerkane

Coach: Paulo Sousa

Dijon

4-1-4-1
1 R. Rúnarsson G
25 B. Écuélé Manga D
2 M. Alphonse D
24 W. Lautoa M
4 N. Aguerd D
27 H. Mendyl D
22 D. Ndong M
17 Mama Baldé M
11 Júlio Tavares F
10 Y. Benzia M
21 M. Chouiar M
Bench (7)
14 J. Marié
9 S. Mavididi
20 R. Amalfitano
7 F. Sammaritano
5 S. Coulibaly
3 G. Ngonda
40 E. Hatfout

Coach: S. Jobard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,83
U ✓
3,37
B
4,72
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,32
U2,5
1,60
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lesage · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.