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Ligue 1
Referee: J Pignard
Rennes
S T T S T
1–0
Full-time
Marseille
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rennes Marseille
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
4,2
4,3
Scored
2,2
2,8
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,47 xG 1,71
28% Possession 72%
12 Shots 24
5 Shots on target 2
5 Blocked shots 9
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
1 Corners 12
5 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

17. May -25 Marseille – Rennes 4–2 11. Jan -25 Rennes – Marseille 1–2 17. Mar -24 Rennes – Marseille 2–0 21. Jan -24 Rennes – Marseille 1–1 3. Dec -23 Marseille – Rennes 2–0

Match report

Rennes Marseille
26′
🟨 Adrien Rabiot
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal 🟥
31′
Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal ℹ️
VAR: Card reviewed
31′
Mousa Tamari 🟨
37′
C. Wooh 🔁
↦ M. Meite
37′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 T. Weah
↦ G. Kondogbia
63′
🔁 P. Aubameyang
↦ J. Rowe
M. Camara 🔁
↦ F. Rieder
64′
78′
🔁 U. Garcia
↦ M. Murillo
84′
🟨 Ulisses Garcia
I. Salah 🔁
↦ M. Tamari
84′
M. Nagida 🔁
↦ P. Frankowski
85′
L. Blas 🔁
↦ S. Fofana
86′
86′
🔁 D. Bakola
↦ A. Gomes
86′
🔁 R. Vaz
↦ A. Gouiri
Valentin Rongier 🟨
89′
1–0 L. Blas ⚽
Q. Merlin
90′
94′
🟨 Leonardo Balerdi
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Rennes

5-3-2
30 B. Samba G
95 P. Frankowski D
48 A. Ait Boudlal D
97 J. Jacquet D
24 A. Rouault D
26 Q. Merlin D
32 F. Rieder M
21 V. Rongier M
8 S. Fofana M
11 M. Tamari F
39 M. Meite F
Bench (9)
16 D. Alemdar
18 M. Nagida
4 C. Wooh
10 L. Blas
45 M. Camara
6 D. Cisse
17 J. James
34 I. Salah
99 B. Yildirim

Coach: Franck Haise

Marseille

3-2-4-1
1 G. Rulli G
4 C. Egan-Riley D
5 L. Balerdi D
19 G. Kondogbia D
23 P. Hojbjerg M
8 A. Gomes M
10 M. Greenwood F
25 A. Rabiot M
62 M. Murillo M
17 J. Rowe F
9 A. Gouiri F
Bench (9)
12 J. De Lange
13 D. Cornelius
6 U. Garcia
50 D. Bakola
11 A. Harit
26 B. Nadir
97 P. Aubameyang
34 R. Vaz
22 T. Weah

Coach: Habib Beye

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,46
🔒
U
3,52
🔒
B
2,04
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5
–
🔒
U1,5 ✓
–
🔒
O2,5
1,79
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,97
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

J Pignard · 145 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,29 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.