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Eredivisie
Referee: E van de Graaf
Feyenoord
S U S S U
2–0
Full-time
Nijmegen
S U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Nijmegen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,3
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,3
2,5
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+2,0
This season — Eredivisie · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 45%
65%
24%
Points per game
2,2
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
47%
29%
Both score Ø 56%
53%
59%
Average goals
3,2
2,4
Scored
2,4
1,4
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

65% Possession 35%
22 Shots 8
9 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
5 Goalkeeper saves 7
12 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
6 Free kicks against 5
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Feyenoord 2. · Nijmegen 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AZ Alkmaar 18 12 3 3 +16 39
2 Feyenoord 17 11 5 1 +25 38
3 PSV Eindhoven 18 11 2 5 +22 35
4 Twente 16 10 4 2 +20 34
5 Ajax 17 9 6 2 +27 33
6 Sparta Rotterdam 16 9 4 3 +15 31
7 Heerenveen 17 6 6 5 +0 24
8 Utrecht 16 6 5 5 -2 23
9 Nijmegen 17 4 10 3 +5 22
10 Waalwijk 17 4 7 6 -4 19
11 Go Ahead Eagles 17 4 7 6 -4 19
12 For Sittard 18 5 4 9 -9 19
13 Excelsior 17 6 1 10 -19 19
14 Vitesse 18 3 7 8 -14 16
15 FC Emmen 18 3 6 9 -17 15
16 Groningen 17 3 3 11 -18 12
17 Volendam 17 3 3 11 -24 12
18 Cambuur 17 2 3 12 -19 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Nijmegen
1–0 J. Dilrosun
M. Pedersen
9′
Mats Wieffer 🟨
32′
Lutsharel Geertruida ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
36′
O. Idrissi 🔁
↦ Igor Paixão
38′
40′
🟨 Dirk Proper
Half-time 1–0
46′
ℹ️ Dirk Proper
VAR: Card upgrade
46′
🔁 J. Kramer
↦ I. Cissoko
48′
🟥 Iván Márquez
2–0 O. Kökcü
48′
54′
🔁 C. Verdonk
↦ L. Dimata
54′
🔁 T. Sanniez
↦ P. Sandler
Q. Timber 🔁
↦ M. Wieffer
61′
N. Kasanwirjo 🔁
↦ L. Geertruida
70′
Danilo 🔁
↦ S. Giménez
70′
P. Wålemark 🔁
↦ J. Dilrosun
70′
70′
🔁 A. Baldursson
↦ L. Schöne
76′
🔁 Pedro Marques
↦ E. Tavşan
91′
🟨 Andri Fannar Baldursson
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-2-3-1
1 J. Bijlow G
2 M. Pedersen D
4 L. Geertruida D
33 D. Hancko D
5 Q. Hartman D
20 M. Wieffer M
10 O. Kökcü M
11 J. Dilrosun M
17 S. Szymański M
14 Igor Paixão M
29 S. Giménez F
Bench (12)
26 O. Idrissi
8 Q. Timber
28 N. Kasanwirjo
9 Danilo
23 P. Wålemark
25 M. Taabouni
7 A. Jahanbakhsh
15 M. López
6 J. Rasmussen
22 T. Wellenreuther
21 O. Marciano
30 E. Bullaude

Coach: A. Slot

Nijmegen

4-3-3
22 J. Cillessen G
28 B. van Rooij D
4 Iván Márquez D
3 P. Sandler D
16 S. El Karouani D
20 L. Schöne M
10 M. Duelund M
71 D. Proper M
7 E. Tavşan F
19 L. Dimata F
21 I. Cissoko F
Bench (9)
5 J. Kramer
24 C. Verdonk
34 T. Sanniez
8 A. Baldursson
9 Pedro Marques
1 M. Branderhorst
2 I. Bronkhorst
77 A. Musaba
31 R. Janse

Coach: R. Meijer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,30
U
5,50
B
9,86
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,38
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

E van de Graaf · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.