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KNVB Beker

Referee: M Nagtegaal

Almere City

T S

0–4

Full-time

Nijmegen

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almere City Nijmegen

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,0

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

2,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,7

This season — KNVB Beker · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

5,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

43% Possession 57%

9 Shots 14

3 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 5

23 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almere City 26. · Nijmegen 29. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Blauw Geel	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	De Graafschap	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Hercules	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
6	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+3	6
7	URK	2	2	0	0	+3	6
8	Spakenburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
9	NAC Breda	2	2	0	0	+2	6
10	HV & CV Quick	3	2	0	1	+1	6
11	Sportlust '46	3	2	0	1	-1	6
12	Staphorst	3	1	1	1	+1	4
13	Hoek	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Kozakken Boys	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
17	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
19	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
20	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
24	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
25	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
26	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
27	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
28	Sparta Rotterdam	2	1	0	1	+1	3
29	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
32	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
33	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
34	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
35	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+0	3
36	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
37	Dongen	2	1	0	1	+0	3
38	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
39	FC Eindhoven	2	1	0	1	+0	3
40	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
41	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
42	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
43	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
45	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
46	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
47	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
48	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
49	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
50	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
51	RKAV Volendam	2	0	1	1	-2	1
52	DEM	2	0	1	1	-3	1
53	Harkemase Boys	2	0	1	1	-4	1
54	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
55	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
56	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
57	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
58	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
59	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
60	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
61	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
62	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
63	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
64	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
65	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
66	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
67	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
68	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
69	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
70	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
71	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
72	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
73	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
74	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
75	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
76	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
77	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
78	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
79	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
80	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
81	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
82	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
83	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
84	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Treffers	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	ADO '20	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+3	3
5	Staphorst	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	OFC Oostzaan	2	1	0	1	+2	3
7	Go Ahead Eagles	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Twente	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Almere City	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	URK	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Excelsior	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Nijmegen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Katwijk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	FC Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Groene Ster	2	1	0	1	+0	3
19	GVVV Veenendaal	2	1	0	1	-1	3
20	Rijnvogels	2	1	0	1	-2	3
21	AFC Amsterdam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Hsc 21	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Roda	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	GVV Unitas	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Kozakken Boys	2	0	1	1	-2	1
28	Excelsior '31	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	OJC Rosmalen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	ASWH	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Quick Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Gemert	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	OSS '20	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Excelsior Maassluis	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Dovo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Koninklijke HFC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	HHC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Hoek	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	JOS Watergraafsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Rijnsburgse Boys	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	DEM	1	0	0	1	-3	0
46	HV & CV Quick	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	FC Lisse	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Dordrecht	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	Sportlust '46	1	0	0	1	-3	0
50	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	De Graafschap	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	HV & CV Quick	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Den Haag	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Hoek	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Volendam	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Blauw Geel	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Groningen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Cambuur	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+2	3
13	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Den Bosch	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Sparta Rotterdam	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Kozakken Boys	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	URK	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Excelsior '31	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Dongen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Hercules	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	NAC Breda	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Zwolle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Telstar	2	1	0	1	-1	3
28	RKAV Volendam	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Vitesse	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Harkemase Boys	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	DEM	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Staphorst	2	0	1	1	-2	1
34	VVOG	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	FC Eindhoven	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	ACV	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Sparta Nijkerk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Helmond Sport	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	Barendrecht	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	FC OSS	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-3	0
49	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	Ter Leede	1	0	0	1	-4	0
51	MVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
52	Baronie	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

15. May -21 Almere City – Nijmegen 0–4

Match report

Almere City Nijmegen

5′

⚽ O. Tannane 0–1

Ilias Alhaft 🟨

34′

43′

⚽ E. Tavşan 0–2

O. Tannane

Half-time 0–2

Manel Royo 🔁

↦ A. Limbombe

46′

61′

🔁 A. Musaba

↦ E. Tavşan

63′

⚽ Pedro Marques 0–3

S. El Karouani

J. Ritmeester van de Kamp 🔁

↦ Álvaro Peña

67′

🔁 L. Dimata

↦ Pedro Marques

67′

🔁 M. Duelund

↦ O. Tannane

M. Pouwels 🔁

↦ J. Hilterman

68′

L. Kromah 🔁

↦ I. Alhaft

68′

J. Rullens 🔁

↦ T. Barbet

76′

🔁 C. Verdonk

↦ L. Schöne

76′

🔁 T. Sanniez

↦ B. van Rooij

80′

⚽ A. Musaba 0–4

S. El Karouani

Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Almere City

4-2-3-1

N. Bakker G

20 H. Akujobi D

4 D. van Bruggen D

22 T. Barbet D

5 T. Poll D

18 Álvaro Peña M

28 S. Resink M

11 I. Alhaft M

14 Pascu M

7 A. Limbombe M

9 J. Hilterman F

Bench (12)

23 Manel Royo

39 J. Ritmeester van de Kamp

19 M. Pouwels

37 L. Kromah

35 J. Rullens

40 A. Etemadi

3 J. Jacobs

46 N. Grootfaam

6 T. Receveur

38 J. Pinas

26 S. Keller

36 M. Esajas

Coach: A. Pastoor

Nijmegen

4-3-3

M. Branderhorst G

B. van Rooij D

4 Iván Márquez D

J. Kramer D

S. El Karouani D

D. Proper M

20 L. Schöne M

14 O. Tannane M

7 E. Tavşan F

Pedro Marques F

I. Cissoko F

Bench (9)

77 A. Musaba

19 L. Dimata

10 M. Duelund

24 C. Verdonk

34 T. Sanniez

22 J. Cillessen

29 K. de Wit

2 I. Bronkhorst

31 R. Janse

Coach: R. Meijer

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

18. Oct KNVB 3 years ago

15. May ED 5 years ago

Referee

M Nagtegaal · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

2,6 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

19,5 / match

Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

Team trends

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Recent head-to-head meetings

Match report

Line-ups

Almere City

Nijmegen

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee