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Eredivisie
Referee: S Gözübüyük
Feyenoord
S S U S S
1–1
Full-time
Ajax
U U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Feyenoord Ajax
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,8
Scored
2,5
1,5
Conceded
0,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,2
This season — Eredivisie · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 63%
69%
56%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
50%
69%
Both score Ø 60%
50%
69%
Average goals
3,3
3,9
Scored
2,4
2,8
Conceded
0,9
1,1
Goal diff per game
+1,6
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
11 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 6
4 Offside 2
19 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Feyenoord 1. · Ajax 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Feyenoord 16 11 4 1 +25 37
2 PSV Eindhoven 17 11 2 4 +23 35
3 AZ Alkmaar 16 10 3 3 +11 33
4 Ajax 16 9 5 2 +27 32
5 Twente 14 9 3 2 +18 30
6 Sparta Rotterdam 15 9 3 3 +15 30
7 Heerenveen 16 6 6 4 +2 24
8 Utrecht 15 6 5 4 +0 23
9 Nijmegen 17 4 10 3 +5 22
10 Go Ahead Eagles 16 4 7 5 -1 19
11 Excelsior 17 6 1 10 -19 19
12 Waalwijk 16 4 6 6 -4 18
13 For Sittard 16 4 4 8 -9 16
14 Vitesse 17 3 6 8 -14 15
15 Groningen 17 3 3 11 -18 12
16 FC Emmen 17 2 6 9 -18 12
17 Volendam 17 3 3 11 -24 12
18 Cambuur 17 2 3 12 -19 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Feyenoord Ajax
8′
🟨 Kenneth Taylor
Alireza Jahanbakhsh 🟨
24′
24′
🟨 Jurriën Timber
1–0 Igor Paixão
Q. Hartman
34′
39′
🟨 Edson Álvarez
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 S. Bergwijn
↦ Francisco Conceição
Orkun Kökçü 🟨
55′
Marcus Pedersen 🟨
60′
71′
D. Klaassen 1–1
S. Bergwijn
J. Dilrosun 🔁
↦ Igor Paixão
74′
S. Giménez 🔁
↦ Danilo
74′
74′
🔁 B. Brobbey
↦ S. Berghuis
Mats Wieffer 🟨
79′
80′
🟨 Davy Klaassen
O. Idrissi 🔁
↦ A. Jahanbakhsh
81′
Q. Timber 🔁
↦ S. Szymański
81′
92′
🔁 O. Wijndal
↦ J. Timber
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Feyenoord

4-2-3-1
1 J. Bijlow G
2 M. Pedersen D
4 L. Geertruida D
33 D. Hancko D
19 Q. Hartman D
20 M. Wieffer M
10 O. Kökcü M
7 A. Jahanbakhsh M
17 S. Szymański M
14 Igor Paixão M
9 Danilo F
Bench (11)
11 J. Dilrosun
29 S. Giménez
26 O. Idrissi
8 Q. Timber
22 T. Wellenreuther
23 P. Wålemark
25 M. Taabouni
6 J. Rasmussen
15 M. López
21 O. Marciano
30 E. Bullaude

Coach: A. Slot

Ajax

4-3-3
12 G. Rulli G
19 J. Sánchez D
4 E. Álvarez D
2 J. Timber D
3 C. Bassey D
8 K. Taylor M
6 D. Klaassen M
23 S. Berghuis M
35 Francisco Conceição F
20 M. Kudus F
10 D. Tadić F
Bench (12)
7 S. Bergwijn
9 B. Brobbey
5 O. Wijndal
57 J. Hato
28 K. Fitz-Jim
37 C. Rasmussen
18 L. Lucca
58 V. Jensen
26 Y. Regeer
43 O. Aertssen
22 R. Pasveer
1 M. Stekelenburg

Coach: A. Schreuder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,61
U ✓
3,57
B
2,53
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,59
U2,5 ✓
2,32
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Gözübüyük · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.