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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hélder Malheiro

Guimaraes

T S U T U

1–0

Full-time

Pacos Ferreira

U S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Guimaraes Pacos Ferreira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

1,8

3,5

Scored

0,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

0,5

2,0

Scored

0,0

0,5

Conceded

0,5

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

8 Shots 16

1 Shots on target 7

2 Blocked shots 2

8 Goalkeeper saves 0

2 Corners 7

3 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 28

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Guimaraes 15. · Pacos Ferreira 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Benfica	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Santa Clara	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Nacional	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Moreirense	3	1	1	1	+0	4
6	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Famalicao	2	1	0	1	-3	3
11	Rio Ave	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Boavista	3	0	2	1	-5	2
13	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Portimonense	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Guimaraes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Sp Braga	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Farense	2	0	0	2	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Moreirense	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Gil Vicente	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nacional	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Portimonense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Farense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Famalicao	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Famalicao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Santa Clara	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Nacional	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Boavista	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Guimaraes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Moreirense	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Farense	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.