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Bundesliga

Referee: S Stegemann

Union Berlin

S T S T U

4–0

Full-time

Mainz

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Mainz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Bundesliga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

4,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

2,0

3,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-2,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

13 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 0

1 Blocked shots 3

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 2

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Union Berlin 14. · Mainz 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoffenheim	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Augsburg	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Ein Frankfurt	2	1	1	0	+2	4
4	RB Leipzig	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Freiburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Bielefeld	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Bayern Munich	2	1	0	1	+5	3
8	Stuttgart	2	1	0	1	+2	3
9	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Werder Bremen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Wolfsburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Leverkusen	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Union Berlin	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	M'gladbach	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	FC Koln	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Mainz	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Schalke 04	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Freiburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	M'gladbach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Ein Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Stuttgart	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Hertha	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Union Berlin	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Wolfsburg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	RB Leipzig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Union Berlin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Leverkusen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	FC Koln	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Dortmund	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Bayern Munich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	M'gladbach	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Schalke 04	1	0	0	1	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.