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Eredivisie

Referee: P van Boekel

Utrecht

S T S U S

1–1

Full-time

Heerenveen

S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Utrecht Heerenveen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

3,3

Scored

2,2

2,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,7

This season — Eredivisie · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

2,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%

38 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 3

17 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

16 Corners 2

3 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Utrecht 9. · Heerenveen 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	3	3	0	0	+5	9
2	Heerenveen	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	Feyenoord	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Twente	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	PSV Eindhoven	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Vitesse	3	2	0	1	+2	6
7	Zwolle	3	1	1	1	+2	4
8	Willem II	3	1	1	1	+2	4
9	Utrecht	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	VVV Venlo	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Heracles	3	1	1	1	-2	4
12	Groningen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	AZ Alkmaar	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	FC Emmen	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	For Sittard	3	0	1	2	-4	1
16	Den Haag	3	0	0	3	-5	0
17	Waalwijk	3	0	0	3	-6	0
18	Sparta Rotterdam	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Twente	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Heerenveen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Feyenoord	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Heracles	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Willem II	1	1	0	0	+4	3
7	Zwolle	2	1	0	1	+2	3
8	Utrecht	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Vitesse	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	VVV Venlo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	FC Emmen	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	For Sittard	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Waalwijk	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Sparta Rotterdam	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Groningen	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PSV Eindhoven	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Feyenoord	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	VVV Venlo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
5	Ajax	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Vitesse	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Groningen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Utrecht	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Twente	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Zwolle	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Willem II	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	For Sittard	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Den Haag	2	0	0	2	-4	0
16	Heracles	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Waalwijk	2	0	0	2	-5	0
18	Sparta Rotterdam	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.