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Primeira Liga

Referee: Fábio Melo

Gil Vicente

S U T T T

1–2

Full-time

Pacos Ferreira

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gil Vicente Pacos Ferreira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,5

2,2

Scored

0,3

1,8

Conceded

1,2

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+1,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 37%

20%

53%

Points per game

0,9

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 27%

27%

Both score Ø 44%

40%

47%

Average goals

1,8

2,3

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,1

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

58% Possession 42%

3 Shots 9

3 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 21

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Gil Vicente 17. · Pacos Ferreira 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	16	13	3	0	+25	42
2	Porto	16	12	2	2	+22	38
3	Benfica	16	10	3	3	+14	33
4	Sp Braga	16	11	0	5	+13	33
5	Guimaraes	15	9	2	4	+7	29
6	Pacos Ferreira	15	8	4	3	+10	28
7	Santa Clara	16	6	3	7	-2	21
8	Moreirense	16	4	6	6	-8	18
9	Tondela	16	5	3	8	-10	18
10	Maritimo	16	5	2	9	-6	17
11	Nacional	16	4	5	7	-6	17
12	Belenenses	16	3	6	7	-6	15
13	Portimonense	16	4	3	9	-8	15
14	Rio Ave	16	3	6	7	-9	15
15	Famalicao	16	3	5	8	-11	14
16	Boavista	16	2	8	6	-11	14
17	Gil Vicente	15	3	4	8	-7	13
18	Farense	15	3	3	9	-7	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	9	7	1	1	+12	22
2	Sp Lisbon	8	6	2	0	+11	20
3	Benfica	8	6	1	1	+8	19
4	Sp Braga	7	6	0	1	+7	18
5	Tondela	9	5	2	2	+2	17
6	Pacos Ferreira	7	5	1	1	+6	16
7	Moreirense	9	3	4	2	-1	13
8	Nacional	9	3	3	3	-1	12
9	Guimaraes	8	4	0	4	-2	12
10	Farense	8	3	2	3	+2	11
11	Portimonense	8	3	2	3	+0	11
12	Belenenses	8	2	3	3	-1	9
13	Rio Ave	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Gil Vicente	7	2	2	3	-1	8
15	Santa Clara	8	2	2	4	-3	8
16	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	-3	8
17	Famalicao	8	1	3	4	-8	6
18	Boavista	7	1	2	4	-8	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	8	7	1	0	+14	22
2	Guimaraes	7	5	2	0	+9	17
3	Porto	7	5	1	1	+10	16
4	Sp Braga	9	5	0	4	+6	15
5	Benfica	8	4	2	2	+6	14
6	Santa Clara	8	4	1	3	+1	13
7	Pacos Ferreira	8	3	3	2	+4	12
8	Boavista	9	1	6	2	-3	9
9	Maritimo	9	3	0	6	-3	9
10	Famalicao	8	2	2	4	-3	8
11	Rio Ave	9	1	4	4	-8	7
12	Belenenses	8	1	3	4	-5	6
13	Nacional	7	1	2	4	-5	5
14	Gil Vicente	8	1	2	5	-6	5
15	Moreirense	7	1	2	4	-7	5
16	Portimonense	8	1	1	6	-8	4
17	Farense	7	0	1	6	-9	1
18	Tondela	7	0	1	6	-12	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.